I swear I'm not trying to be negative here but if we play Alabama we would get destroyed physically.
We would need to create at least three turnovers to keep the game close.
I'm glad somebody else posted it because that has been my opinion about a meeting with Alabama, whether it's in the playoffs or Orange Bowl. Worst possible physical matchup for our program at this stage. They would be in the backfield wiping out the RPO exchange on one play after another. The pass defense is very, very good and Saban with time to prepare is not going to be friendly to an erratic quarterback. On offense they would methodically mirror what Pittsburgh did to us, but at a much higher level.
This was a scary Alabama team before the bunched injuries hit the defense.
I have no idea where this notion comes from that Alabama doesn't show up when the title is not on the line. The only example of that was the Oklahoma game in the Sugar Bowl a few years ago. That was the 2013 season, the only one in recent history that Alabama had a very supbar pass defense by their standards. The other qualifying game was the 2010 season in which Alabama was so furious after blowing the 24-0 lead to Cam Newton and Auburn that they took it out on Michigan State, 49-7.
Besides, Alabama is hardly out of the national championship hunt. I am among the many who are shopping for the best price on the Tide to win the national title. It has been a topic on betting forums the past two days. There are some juicy numbers out there. Some spots are not budging and leaving it in the 4/1 or 5/1 range but elsewhere it's been adjusted to 12/1 and I've seen 14/1. Certainly wouldn't be the worst investment I've ever made, even if Alabama gets shut out. Make it into the tournament and suddenly you are favored in any matchup. Unfortunately there aren't as many independent joints as the old days..pre mergers. This is the type of thing where some dunce mathematically clueless independent sportsbook manager would overreact and throw up 20/1.