miami -21 vs fsu

Here's the thing about this spread...yeah, we should cover it. But, for example last year, FSU went 5-7 while we were 1 good pass away from winning #6. Miami FSU final score? 28-22. Yeah it was at Doak, but there are countless examples of this on both sides throughout the series history. I think we're more likely to cover than not, but I wouldn't touch this spread with my 10 foot pole.
The game wasn’t even that close. We had a TD get called back on a stupid procedure penalty. Mario went into a shell and gassed his defense in the process.

I do believe Mario has fundamentally changed how he approaches leads after how last regular season ended. Short of injuries piling up or them just not stopping our running game, I don’t see a scenario where Mario goes conservative like last season.

I also think we are a better team this year than last year. I think FSU is a worse team than last year as well. FSU is coming off a really bad loss. And sure they were last year, but they were ranked, at home and still riding high off the Bama win. I think we cover by halftime and win going away.
 
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