Miami -14.5 vs Louisville

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Mario is good for one clunker a year. I don’t think it’s this one. Dawson has rolled 83 points on Louisville the last two seasons. This is the best defense we’ve had in a long time. I’m taking us to cover.

If we had beaten FSU two days ago and had the short turnaround I’d be worried. We were an afterthought for most of the time we were off. I don’t see the rat poison seeping in this week. Going to Pitt Thanksgiving weekend is what worries me.
 
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Definitely expected with them also on bye week.. Their fans expect it also
That’s just one thread. Have looked through their board, they think they lose for the most part. We excel at everything they’re bad at basically.
 
Mario is good for one clunker a year. I don’t think it’s this one. Dawson has rolled 83 points on Louisville the last two seasons. This is the best defense we’ve had in a long time. I’m taking us to cover.

If we had beaten FSU two days ago and had the short turnaround I’d be worried. We were an afterthought for most of the time we were off. I don’t see the rat poison seeping in this week. Going to Pitt Thanksgiving weekend is what worries me.
Pitt's D looked horrible against the run against FSU, I am not worried about that game, and they don't pack their stadium, at all.
 
Pitt's D looked horrible against the run against FSU, I am not worried about that game, and they don't pack their stadium, at all.
My worry has nothing to do with Pitt. It’s the long travel, after a holiday. Probably an early kick. Cold. The week before we probably play the ACCCG, playoffs are probably locked in. It’s everything surrounding the game that worries me about that one.
 
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Louisville has lost one time under Brohm by more than 10 points, it was to Pittsburgh in 2023 by 17.

Yes, that’s a sign of excellent coaching considering the history of the program. Only lost by a TD @ Notre Dame last year (and out gained them in yardage). TD margin losses to us and SMU as well.

It’s a great measuring stick game for us. They’re coming off a bye, they always play up to ranked opponents and Brohm is one of the best schematic HCs in the game.

If we can win this one by double digits, I doubt we have more than 1 single score margin game left on the schedule afterwards.
 
Louisville has lost one time under Brohm by more than 10 points, it was to Pittsburgh in 2023 by 17.

They should have lost the Pitt game this year by a lot. Louisville was completely outplayed in that game. Pitt was in command up 17-0 and then proceeded to muff a punt return, have their punter fumble a snap, and throw an INT all inside their own 20 yard line. The UVA game was a much better game from them, even though they lost.
 
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