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Mathematicaly, can we...

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The words of Al Golden at his UM introductory press conference come to mind:

“Are you kidding me?!?”
 
if all of the following scenarios happened:

1) Sec champ is the only SEC team with 2 or less losses

2) Big 10 champ is the only big 10 team with 2 or less losses

3) big 12 champ is the only big 12 team with 2 or less losses

4) No pac 12 team has 2 or less losses

5) we run the table in impressive fashion, and Clemson loses a game in addition to losing soundly to Miami in the ACCCG

6) Notre Dame has at least 3 losses.



the ACC has the worst public perception right now out of the power 5. Any tie in records will not favor us. So technically not impossible I reckon, however it would take an obscene number of upsets in all conferences in addition to us just winning out.
 
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To quote John McKay when the 1977 Tampa Bay Buccaneers won their first game after an 0-26 start:

‘Three or four plane crashes and we're in the playoffs.’
 
I say we just declare ourselves national champions no matter the record. Alabaga did it often, that's why they have "17" titles.
 
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miamicanephins said:
How about one on a motorcycle,

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In theory, sure. I think that if we got hot, started to whip up on teams and then knocked off Clemson in somewhat convincing fashion, we'd be in. I don't need to tell you or anyone else that the odds of that happening are very low.
 
Mathematically? Absolutely. It's Week 5. Mathematically, most P5 teams still have a chance to make the playoffs. But a team in Miami's situation would need to win out, obviously, do it convincingly, and then require help. But sure, mathematically, Miami isn't eliminated from playoff contention and neither is probably 75% of the P5.
 
Winning out would be more about recruiting and momentum going into next season. Going 11-2 or 10-3 would be a great season
 
txcane80 said:
Mathematicaly, can we make the playoffs this year?
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Well Mathematically we could but here is what would have to happen:

- We would have to win convincingly going 11-2 including defeating Clemson in the ACCCG.
- All PAC12 teams finish the season with at least 1 loss (eliminates them).
- The SEC Champ is the only undefeated team in the SEC; all other SEC teams are 1-loss at best.
- The B1G Champ is the only undefeated team in the B1G; all other B1G teams are 1-loss at best.
- Oklahoma and Texas each have a loss.
- Assume this scenario for a minute:
Slot_1: SEC champ (Alabama, Auburn, or LSU, Georgia)
Slot_2: B1G champ (Wisconsin, Ohio State)
Slot_3: Pick one below:
Slot_4: ACC (A one loss Clemson team that lost to Miami in the ACCCG)


Miami Hurricanes 11-2 ~or~
Big10 team that is at best 12-1 ~or~
SEC team that is at best 12-1 ~or~
Big12 team that is at best 12-1.

Basically the stars would need to align. Those Big10/SEC/Big12 losses would need to be late season and kind of sketch.
 
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Honestly, when you start thinking about “mathematics” in football when it comes to playoffs, forget it, you’re dead. Usually, this type of thing is reserved for late November, not September. But, yeah, we win out and beat Clemson, we go.
 
Canestomp said:
Miami Hurricanes 11-2 ~or~
Big10 team that is at best 12-1 ~or~
SEC team that is at best 12-1 ~or~
Big12 team that is at best 12-1.

Basically the stars would need to align. Those Big10/SEC/Big12 losses would need to be late season and kind of sketch.
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I don't think we get in over any 1 loss team in another power 5 conference with two losses, playing in the ACC. Or a 2 loss Notre Dame. Unless that ACC championship carries a **** ton of weight (lol)
 
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westcoastcanes said:
I don't think we get in over any 1 loss team in another power 5 conference with two losses, playing in the ACC. Or a 2 loss Notre Dame. Unless that ACC championship carries a **** ton of weight (lol)
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Kind of a moot point right now since nothing about this team reeks of championship caliber but I think we have a couple things going in our favor:
- The losses happened at the beginning of the season.
- The margin of victory was by four or fewer points.
- They were against quality opponents (as tough as it is to swallow the pride, we'll want Florida to continue winning out--except a loss or two maybe to Georgia--as it will diminish the harshness of that loss)

If any of those other teams lose in weeks 6-13 and the manner in which they lose appears bad those losses will look far worse than our early season losses.

I'm just playing devils advocate here. I honestly don't believe this year is the year we do it but I do think we're on the rise to getting there. Just a year or two more of development and we'll be there.
 
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