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Mario Will Need To Be A Statistical Outlier - A Review

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ThomasM said:
I'll add another variable. All those other coaches knew how to take a knee. ****, Randy Shannon and Al Golden knew how to do that.
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You know what's sad about all that? The fact that Don Chaney was down and it was a bad call. I get that Mario should've just taken a knee, but if the refs hadn't blown that call and we pounded it in for a final TD, everyone would be calling it savage for fighting to the last second and talking about how we wore them down by controlling the clock.
 
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Felonious Monk said:
You know what's sad about all that? The fact that Don Chaney was down and it was a bad call. I get that Mario should've just taken a knee, but if the refs hadn't blown that call and we pounded it in for a final TD, everyone would be calling it savage for fighting to the last second and talking about how we wore them down by controlling the clock.
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It was a terrible call. He was indeed down. However, like one of our past great coaches said, you don't leave the game in the hands of the officials. We did just that by not taking a knee.
 
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Manfred_Cane said:
A lot of *****ing & moaning in the comments/replies, and 0 solutions. As always.
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zero solutions? you mean by us internet nerds?

the solution is Mario needs to reinvent himself and Miami football..

he's the guy that makes $8mil a year and has been given a plethora of resources to figure out what that looks like.. hopefully he's not too stubborn and stuck in his ways that he doesn't realize his "plan" and "vision" needs a MAJOR pivot from what he originally came in here thinking because obviously it's not working...
 
Writing has been on the wall since last year. Some knew then what most know now.

You basically know what you're getting after the two year mark.

Seeing how Mario is the HC for the unforeseeable future, he will have time to prove or disprove this theory.
 
Yoyo82 said:
zero solutions? you mean by us internet nerds?

the solution is Mario needs to reinvent himself and Miami football..

he's the guy that makes $8mil a year and has been given a plethora of resources to figure out what that looks like.. hopefully he's not too stubborn and stuck in his ways that he doesn't realize his "plan" and "vision" needs a MAJOR pivot from what he originally came in here thinking because obviously it's not working...
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hey look, a solution

thanks nerd
 
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TriStarCane said:
The new age of football destroys this data set.
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Even without the new age, so many titles have been won by the same few coaches or standout QBs that I am not sure there is any takeaway in the data beyond "3-5 coaches are running really strong programs and Vince Young/Cam Newton/Joe Burrow tier QBs can win titles".
 
Memnon said:
And now with a 12 team playoff it's going to be even harder (pause) to really catapult into being a title contender.

On it's face you would think more teams would make it easier & give us a better chance, but the exact opposite is likely to happen. More teams in the playoffs means it will be backlogged with borderline SEC teams & any time Notre Dame has a 9-3/10-2 season they'll basically be automatics.

Our best bet of making the playoffs was going on a run & winning the ACC. That will still be our pathway, but unless we just start miraculously ripping off multiple 10/11 win seasons, simply going 8-4, or even 9-3 won't be enough.

The bar has been lowered to where just finishing above .500 is considered a success, but the likelihood of Mario suddenly Jumpstarting this team into an annual 10+ win ACC & playoff contender is pretty much slim to none.

There's a much higher probability we have another 7 win season heading into year 3 of his tenure than winning 10+ & that is alarming if you're not a total brain dead slurper...

But of course, none of that matters because #2029IsTheTime!
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Agree.
10 spots minimum are gone...4 SEC/3 BIG,ND, B12 and G5.
ACC Champs or bust
 
Glow said:
Even without the new age, so many titles have been won by the same few coaches or standout QBs that I am not sure there is any takeaway in the data beyond "3-5 coaches are running really strong programs and Vince Young/Cam Newton/Joe Burrow tier QBs can win titles".
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Might be too reductive. There are 16 coaches in this data set across 14 programs. Some of them had elite QBs. Some didn’t. They all succeeded at their primary responsibility within 24 months of starting
 
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This is as close to rock solid as it gets. And as mentioned already, the expanded playoff will only make it tougher to win for teams who don’t have an elite coach and a top 5 roster.

For all of those claiming outliers are possible, look at the NCAAT. In the last 20-30 years every single winner has been inside the top 30 of scoring and defense and combined. In arguably the flukiest and highest variance sport bc of teams and players getting hot or cold, the same thing has determined the winner for decades. Whether they got the easiest draw or the toughest, it didn’t matter. That’s what it takes to win 6 games and a title. The idea that football, a much lower variance sport, would be more likely to break statistical trends, when the road is now much tougher, is laughable.
 
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