Line dropping as suspected

B Run

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Opened anywhere between 16-17 now down to 14. Probably a combo of Canes wagers and projected weather. Should be down to 12-13 by game time. I took it at 14.5. I like the hook but I'm suspecting I wont need it. Canes cover even if it gets to 10. Cant wait!!!!
 
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Opened anywhere between 16-17 now down to 14. Probably a combo of Canes wagers and projected weather. Should be down to 12-13 by game time. I took it at 14.5. I like the hook but I'm suspecting I wont need it. Canes cover even if it gets to 10. Cant wait!!!!

Wonder if weather has anything to do with it
 
Opened anywhere between 16-17 now down to 14. Probably a combo of Canes wagers and projected weather. Should be down to 12-13 by game time. I took it at 14.5. I like the hook but I'm suspecting I wont need it. Canes cover even if it gets to 10. Cant wait!!!!
The line is dropping because the money is coming in on Miami. Vegas has to adjust line to get people to play Clemson. As a guy who has placed a few bets when the money goes one way Vegas usually does not get beat. I would have liked to see the line remain steady at 16. The wise guys know as the late money how they bet is a good indicator of what happens. Example Louisville game all the late money was on Miami.
 
The line is dropping because the money is coming in on Miami. Vegas has to adjust line to get people to play Clemson. As a guy who has placed a few bets when the money goes one way Vegas usually does not get beat. I would have liked to see the line remain steady at 16. The wise guys know as the late money how they bet is a good indicator of what happens. Example Louisville game all the late money was on Miami.
So if late money on miami, and line keeps dropping, is a good thing? I'm confused by the wishing it would stay at 16? Is it because early money on Miami and may go back other way before kickoff?
Thanks.
 
Opened anywhere between 16-17 now down to 14. Probably a combo of Canes wagers and projected weather. Should be down to 12-13 by game time. I took it at 14.5. I like the hook but I'm suspecting I wont need it. Canes cover even if it gets to 10. Cant wait!!!!
I beg to disagree. Sorry. As I've yapped so many times before. Cane fans, and other degenerates, DON'T shift the line that dramatically. If what you've posted is true. huh? It's the Armani suit wearing WISE GUYS whom contribute to that dramatic line swing. duh. In other words, these " hard guys " wager " beaucoup Benjamins. For instance, it's not unheard for them to make a wager of say... $ 100 grand or $ 150 grand. And yes, $ 200 grand. Also, my man out in Lake Tahoe has wagered $ 25,000 Samoans on the Canes the past two games. Easy money, baby. Easy money.
 
So if late money on miami, and line keeps dropping, is a good thing? I'm confused by the wishing it would stay at 16? Is it because early money on Miami and may go back other way before kickoff?
Thanks.
The early line was mainly public money. In other words, the degenerates believe Miami is overrated and naturally mighty Clemson is still legitimate.

Also, it's possible a coterie of Wise Guys put down some " light action " to " hide " their bets. huh? Then as the week progresses they'll lay down MAJOR MONEY on my Miami. In other words, if the Wise Guy coterie were to put down MAJOR MONEY on Miami early, it would get some actors of the general public wondering WHY the line is jumping all over the Sin City radar screen. huh??
 
So if late money on miami, and line keeps dropping, is a good thing? I'm confused by the wishing it would stay at 16? Is it because early money on Miami and may go back other way before kickoff?
Thanks.
You always want to see the line move in your team’s favor. The line opened at -15 at the most reputable casinos and it’s now down to -14. But I agree sometimes the late line move is the one to watch for. So far so good.
 
I beg to disagree. Sorry. As I've yapped so many times before. Cane fans, and other degenerates, DON'T shift the line that dramatically. If what you've posted is true. huh? It's the Armani suit wearing WISE GUYS whom contribute to that dramatic line swing. duh. In other words, these " hard guys " wager " beaucoup Benjamins. For instance, it's not unheard for them to make a wager of say... $ 100 grand or $ 150 grand. And yes, $ 200 grand. Also, my man out in Lake Tahoe has wagered $ 25,000 Samoans on the Canes the past two games. Easy money, baby. Easy money.

I beg to disagree. Sorry. As I've yapped so many times before. Cane fans, and other degenerates, DON'T shift the line that dramatically. If what you've posted is true. huh? It's the Armani suit wearing WISE GUYS whom contribute to that dramatic line swing. duh. In other words, these " hard guys " wager " beaucoup Benjamins. For instance, it's not unheard for them to make a wager of say... $ 100 grand or $ 150 grand. And yes, $ 200 grand. Also, my man out in Lake Tahoe has wagered $ 25,000 Samoans on the Canes the past two games. Easy money, baby. Easy money.
I never said "Canes fans"...I said Canes wagers. And yes, when one side is getting a heavy side of the wagers the line absolutely adjusts up or down based on that. Look..Im not here to get into a message board debate on this. Whatever anyone who disagrees with me says is right. There...does that help?
 
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You both could be right. Vegas does not try to balance the bet 50/50, but there will be line movement to either help balance their line or to give the book an advantage. In generals the books will try to avoid large enough moves to lure the sharps into the action.

Dull wagering (Canes fans wagering that are not sharps) doesn't move the spread much because Vegas doesn't exactly consider losses to to the public better to be permanently lost. Non professional betters are very likely to rewager their winnings and Vegas gets another shot at the money.
 
Any line movement between 14.5 to 16.5 is pointless. It’s a reaction to it being a 3 score spread. The only tell when it comes to movement here is under 14. If it closes at 13.5 people believe we have a real shot.
 
im taking Miami straight up win money line
I aint scared
my bank account is but I aint
I've got Miami +15, Miami ML and the over.

The weather scares me a bit with taking the over but I expect this to be a shootout. Venebles is a great DC but they don't have the horses back there that he's used to having.
 
Last week was a great Miami week. This week?

Phins lose
Marlins lose
Heat on the brink

We're going to have to dig deep for our mojo.
 
I've got Miami +15, Miami ML and the over.

The weather scares me a bit with taking the over but I expect this to be a shootout. Venebles is a great DC but they don't have the horses back there that he's used to having.
Rain makes the runner harder to tackle. Something to think about
 
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I've got Miami +15, Miami ML and the over.

The weather scares me a bit with taking the over but I expect this to be a shootout. Venebles is a great DC but they don't have the horses back there that he's used to having.

I just placed my 2 bets
I bet on both Miami with the spread
and straight up win

im honestly worried more for good weather I feel our team has the advantage in the rain
 
Last week was a great Miami week. This week?

Phins lose
Marlins lose
Heat on the brink

We're going to have to dig deep for our mojo.

Heat played extremely sloppy basketball and gave the game away to the more talented Lakers. There is a lesson in there somewhere.
 
So if late money on miami, and line keeps dropping, is a good thing? I'm confused by the wishing it would stay at 16? Is it because early money on Miami and may go back other way before kickoff?
Thanks.
When a line starts to move like this, big players will sometimes place a large wager/wagers to move the line back closer to the original before coming back just prior to kickoff to place their real bet, much larger than the wager/wagers they placed to move the line earlier. It's a way of getting the number they want.
 
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