Key Stats Heading into Bowl Season (2022 vs 2023)

Reyrey

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Men Lie. Woman Lie. Numbers Don’t.

Friday was about as clean as a game as a we could have asked for to close out the season. All three levels played great. Complimentary football. I wrote last week that the team was just not in sync. Well, sure felt like we were on Friday, and the score showed it.

This week I’m going to do the Change year over year, 2022 Vs 2023. The regular season is done. The Bowl game can look so different from what we have seen all year, especially player wise.

Here is how we finished 2023 Vs 2022.

Category20222023Year Change
Points Per Game19.4 (114th)30.6 (39th)⬆️ 75
Total Offense YPG348.5 (97th)427.8 (28th)⬆️69
Offense Yards Per Play4.8 (104th)6.2 (27th)⬆️77
Pass Efficiency O125.2 (89th)138.1 (53rd)⬆️26
Pass O236.0 (58th)256.7 (43rd)⬆️15
Yards Per Att6.7 (91st)7.6 (52nd)⬆️39
Rush O112.5 (106th)171.1 (47th)⬆️59
Yards per Cary3.3 (110th)5.1 (17th)⬆️93
Red Zone O76.32%(110th)83.72% (70th)⬆️40
Sacks Allowed3.3 (113th)1.2 (15th)⬆️98
Completion %60.57%(67th)63.34% (37th)⬆️30
3rd Down O37.74%(77th)39.16% (65th)⬆️12
Opp. Points per game28 (66th)23.5 (42nd)⬆️24
Total Defense YPG378.3 (52nd)338.5 (31st)⬆️21
Defensive YPP5.6 (80th)5.1 (37th)⬆️43
Pass Efficiency D142.2 (101st)124.6 (32nd)⬆️69
Sacks3.2 (9th)2.7 (20th)🔻11
Rush D147.3 (53rd)102.9 (13th)⬆️40
Yards per Cary4.1 (57th)3.4 (19th)⬆️38
Red Zone D84.09%(64th)85.05% (85th)🔻21
Pass D231.1 (68th)235.6 (75th)🔻7
Completion %61.56%(82nd) 56.87% (19th)⬆️63
3rd Down D42.57%(100th)34.21% (28th)⬆️72
Penalty Yards Per Game61.1 (103rd)61.1 (113th)🔻10
Avg TOP30:38 (50th)32:10 (19th)⬆️31
Turnover Margin-.5 (101st)-.2 (83rd)⬆️18
FG%85.00 (27th)84.00 (26th)⬆️1
Avg Scoring Margin-8.6 (103rd)+7.2 (33rd)⬆️70

The Good.
Statistically, this team improved in almost every category. Despite the sentiment on CIS, the offense made the biggest improvement year over year. Specifically the Oline. We went from 113th to 15th in sacks allows (Should be a big selling point to portal QB). The run game went from one of the worst in the country 100s in YPG and YPC to 47th and 17th respectively. The entire offensive efficiency made a hug turn around YPG and YPP. Both almost in 100s to nearly top 25. The defense didn’t see as big a turn around but as a unit, much more complete. YPG and YPP were down to the top 30s and finished with a top 20 rush defense. Year over year, I think we can say almost every position group improved, and the numbers show it. The record is what the record is. But on paper, we did some good things in year 2. The good part is that these numbers in year 2

The Meh + The Bad.
I’m putting these together like last week. I’m also saying the same thing as last well. Playing winning football. I think most can look at the above and say we probably should be a 8-9 win time. There’s a lot of balance there between each side of the ball and the different play styles. Loosing teams will likely have high passing yards and low rushing outputs playing from behind. Wing T teams don’t throw and only run but that doesn’t equal success. With that said, the numbers again are solid considering year 1 to year 2. Plenty be excited about.

However, we underperformed. There’s a lot of reasons for that. Game management by the coaches. Inconsistent play, from a lot of positions, but especially QB. Decision making. I don’t really need to elaborate on this, it’s done enough here. But the things winning football teams do, we didn’t consistently all year. Watching Michigan or Ohio state last week kinda shows winning football. Both teams don’t really have Heismam All American QB play. But every other position group is very good. For this entire season, both teams have done the right things to win games. Even if they were off and played down to a team that day, they still found a way to win. In that game, Michigan just played more sound and winning football. Turnovers, penalties, decision making etc. Miami did not do that this year, and that’s why they are 7-5 and for the most, underachieving in 2023.


Moral of the Story.
2023 W/L was disappointing. I think this team should still probably be closer to 8/9 wins. They way some of the games turned out as well also was disappointing. But not all is bad. I’m naturally a glass half full guy. And, this season still has me excited about the future. There’s plenty to criticize, but the improvements from year 1-2 are so evident. Dawson and TVD got a lot of heat this year. And for the most part, deservedly so. But just look again at the statistical improvement year of year. I said it before, but almost every position group improved from 2022 to 2023. Development of players, especially at the LOS, was glaring. There’s a lot of young talent there that will only get better. It’s also excited how the WR and CB room exceeded pre season expectations. Those units have bright futures as we continue to add talent.

Idk what the bowl game looks like. Truthfully, don’t really care. Get me 10 or however many more practices and a game for the youth of this team. The real importance these next 4-8 weeks is talent acquisition. Mario has to finish strong with this HS class. Has to hit the portal hard. And needs to keep the core of this current team. He and staff have their hand fulls coming up. But if there is one thing I don’t doubt about Mario, it’s recruiting.


Go Canes.
 
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Again, 2021 -vs- 2023 is the real comparison that should be done.

2022 was both a Mario year and a reset year.
 
Again, 2021 -vs- 2023 is the real comparison that should be done.

2022 was both a Mario year and a reset year.
If you want compare that, then you’re comparing different cultures, tenures, staffs, players and etc. Mario himself said they are rebuilding. A proper comparison is year 2 and 3 manny Vs year 2 and 3 Mario.

What Manny inherited from Richt is not the same of what Mario inherited from Manny.
 
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If you want compare that, then you’re comparing different cultures, tenures, staffs, players and etc. Mario himself said they are rebuilding. A proper comparison is year 2 and 3 manny Vs year 2 and 3 Mario.

What Manny inherited from Richt is not the same of what Mario inherited from Manny.


If you add the word "coaches" to the bold font above, then you'd be accurately describing what should be compared. We fired Manny and hired Mario. The state of the program at the end of year two under Mario vs the state that he inherited is the most accurate analysis in my opinion.

Comparing anything to 2022 is fruitless. Its like saying, lets see who can lose the most weight then one person gains 15 pounds right before the competition starts. lol
 
If you add the word "coaches" to the bold font above, then you'd be accurately describing what should be compared. We fired Manny and hired Mario. The state of the program at the end of year two under Mario vs the state that he inherited is the most accurate analysis in my opinion.

Comparing anything to 2022 is fruitless. Its like saying, lets see who can lose the most weight then one person gains 15 pounds right before the competition starts. lol
To me, judging how YOUR team has changed year over year is a far better barometer than what your doing today VS before you got here.

Just being devils advocate. Why year 2? We all know Mario came to build a program from the ground up. The sophomores on the team are a half cycle for him. Finishing someone else’s class. His first full cycle is freshman.

I personally don’t think 2 years is appropriate to judge Mario Vs previous regiment.

I think judging 2022 Vs 2023 is far more appropriate than judging Vs 2021. You’re judging Mario’s improvement for his team. The players are more and more kids he brought in. For the most part, they are often the same thing. For instance, the WR group year 1 Vs year 2. Comparing that pre mario doesn’t really do anything.
 
How long is Mario building for with 80 mil on deck? When the building stop and the winning starts?
 
How long is Mario building for with 80 mil on deck? When the building stop and the winning starts?
I think next year is a fair W/L check. We won more games than lost this year. Every game was winnable and nearly a 1 score game. He’s a program builder. You have to give that guy a chance to build a program. That’s what you brought him here to do. That takes a few years and cycles. If he was a XO guy (Riley) that brought in his offense it’s probably a different barometer to judge the guy.

Sark went 5-7, then 7-5, and now 11-1. And he probably inherited more talent than Mario. It takes more than 2 or 3 years to build a national championship program.
 
amazing that we actually improved in turnover margin this year.
 
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I think next year is a fair W/L check. We won more games than lost this year. Every game was winnable and nearly a 1 score game. He’s a program builder. You have to give that guy a chance to build a program. That’s what you brought him here to do. That takes a few years and cycles. If he was a XO guy (Riley) that brought in his offense it’s probably a different barometer to judge the guy.

Sark went 5-7, then 7-5, and now 11-1. And he probably inherited more talent than Mario. It takes more than 2 or 3 years to build a national championship program.
I can see 6-6 next year. Its too early as we dont even have a set qb so we will see.
 
To me, judging how YOUR team has changed year over year is a far better barometer than what your doing today VS before you got here.

Just being devils advocate. Why year 2? We all know Mario came to build a program from the ground up. The sophomores on the team are a half cycle for him. Finishing someone else’s class. His first full cycle is freshman.

I personally don’t think 2 years is appropriate to judge Mario Vs previous regiment.

I think judging 2022 Vs 2023 is far more appropriate than judging Vs 2021. You’re judging Mario’s improvement for his team. The players are more and more kids he brought in. For the most part, they are often the same thing. For instance, the WR group year 1 Vs year 2. Comparing that pre mario doesn’t really do anything.



1) Your approach completely ignores that Mario's first year was significantly worse than the previous year. It comes off like cherry picking a starting point. To note that Mario made the program better in year two and ignore that he made is significantly worse in year one is inappropriate in my opinion.

2) Why year two? Because that's where we are (and where you chose to start this thread at). Again, I do not think comparing anything to 2022 is worth anything. It was a historically bad year for UM football, managed by the current head coach.


Note: Im not saying we arent seeing improvement, I just vehemently disagree with your starting point as a means of justification.
 
I can see 6-6 next year. Its too early as we dont even have a set qb so we will see.
It’s WAAAYYYY too early to predict any record next year record.

I think the vision and goal is getting to point as a program that it doesn’t really matter who is at QB, you win 10 games. Michigan, oHio state, bama etc. it doesn’t matter who’s at QB, they win still. The great QB sets them over the top and makes them a champion.

I think you can kinda see that trying to be built. Putting a true freshman In qb who wasn’t ready in for Clemson and FSU. Winning 1 and a chance to win the other. Even despite terrible qb at times, we still had chances to win.
 
1) Your approach completely ignores that Mario's first year was significantly worse than the previous year. It comes off like cherry picking a starting point. To note that Mario made the program better in year two and ignore that he made is significantly worse in year one is inappropriate in my opinion.

2) Why year two? Because that's where we are (and where you chose to start this thread at). Again, I do not think comparing anything to 2022 is worth anything. It was a historically bad year for UM football, managed by the current head coach.


Note: Im not saying we arent seeing improvement, I just vehemently disagree with your starting point as a means of justification.
I write this thread every week comparing the week to week changes. It’s end of the year so I did year over year. You can compare 2021 to now. But are we judging Mario or Mario Vs Manny.

Not denying 2022 was worse 2021. But if you resetting and building a program than that expected. You’re ultimately going to judge Mario on how he left a program compared to how he inherited. So I’m not sure the value in trying to compare and judge that in the middle of it.

Right now I’m judging Mario Vs Mario. I don’t care about 2021
 
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