Visits June Official Visit Multi-Year Results Master Thread

lindend

Money, its gotta be da shoes!
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Creating a thread to see if there are any general trends for June visits. My initial speculation was the first or last visits are the ones you want to get. Granted its a limited sample size so far, but the results seem to indicate that the third or fourth weekend is when you want your key recruits to visit.


Always Be Closing Alec Baldwin GIF



YearJune Visit Commit %June Visit NLI %
2439%37%
2327%25%
2251%40%


2025

DateCancellationsOVsCommitsNLIsClosing PercentageNLI Percentage
March 24-30
May 26-June 1
June 2-8
June 9-15
June 16-22
June 23-29




2024


DateCancellationsOVsCommitsNLIsClosing PercentageNLI Percentage
May 27-June 24165632%38%
June 3-99115445%36%
June 10-163114436%36%
June 17-237105450%40%


2023


DateCancellationsOVsCommitsNLIsClosing PercentageNLI Percentage
June 1-517000%0%
June 6-11116116.25%6.25%
June 12-18165483%66%
June 19-261179843%38%
 
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Some caveats here. I think there were some anomalies with last year and Mario placed a heavy emphasis on flipping kids that didn't visit in June and the 3rd week only had 6 visitors. I may need to go back to June 22 and see how that cycle went.
 
Found the roll up numbers for the 22 cycle


51% commit rate for June visitors
40% NLI hit rate for June visitors


and my prediction for the 23 cycle (which was WAY off)


We were nowhere near those percentages in the 23 cycle. Here's to hoping we're closer to the 22 numbers than the 23 numbers.
 
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Added an additional table to the OP to compare raw results for each cycle.


YearJune Visit Commit %June Visit NLI %
24
2327%25%
2251%40%
 
I'm assuming the difference between Commit and NLI is kids that committed then didn't sign, correct? If so, who were they if it's not too much trouble to list?
 
As of now, we have ~52 OV's scheduled for June with a class size somewhere in the 20-30 range. Post your guesses for commit % and NLI % for June visits and we'll see who ends up the closest when all NLIs are in.

My guesses:

Commit: 40%
NLI: 35%
 
OP updated with closing percentages. Fixed a couple of egregious errors. Its still possible there are some mistakes, if you see any, let me know..


2024


DateCancellationsOVsCommitsNLIsClosing PercentageNLI Percentage
May 27-June 24165632%38%
June 3-99115445%36%
June 10-163114436%36%
June 17-237105450%40%
 
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Sample size is small but both years in our sample, the third visit weekend is the highest percentage chance of success

After correcting errors, 2024 results show roughly equal success in any visit weekend. Not clear if this invalidated my OP theory or if its an outlier.


2024


DateClosing PercentageNLI Percentage
May 27-June 232%38%
June 3-945%36%
June 10-1636%36%
June 17-2350%40%


2023


DateClosing PercentageNLI Percentage
June 1-50%0%
June 6-116.25%6.25%
June 12-1883%66%
June 19-2643%38%
 
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