Visits June Official Visit Multi-Year Results Master Thread

[lindend]

Creating a thread to see if there are any general trends for June visits. My initial speculation was the first or last visits are the ones you want to get. Granted its a limited sample size so far, but the results seem to indicate that the third or fourth weekend is when you want your key recruits to visit.

Year	June Visit Commit %	June Visit NLI %
25	32%	32%
24	39%	37%
23	27%	25%
22	51%	40%

Official Visits Weekends (2025)

Date	5*	Cancellations	OVs	Commits	NLIs	Closing Percentage	NLI Percentage
March 24-30	0	0	1	0	0	0%	0%
May 5-11	1	0	0	0	0	100%	100%
May 26-June 1	5	11	21	7	6	33%	28%
June 2-8	1	2	19	8	8	42%	42%
June 9-15	0	5	13	4	4	30%	30%
June 16-22	0	6	20	5	5	25%	25%
June 23-29	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

2024

Date	5*	Cancellations	OVs	Commits	NLIs	Closing Percentage	NLI Percentage
May 27-June 2	1	4	16	5	6	32%	38%
June 3-9	1	9	11	5	4	45%	36%
June 10-16	3	3	11	4	4	36%	36%
June 17-23	1	7	10	5	4	50%	40%

2023

Date	5*	Cancellations	OVs	Commits	NLIs	Closing Percentage	NLI Percentage
June 1-5	1	1	7	0	0	0%	0%
June 6-11	6	1	16	1	1	6.25%	6.25%
June 12-18	1	1	6	5	4	83%	66%
June 19-26	2	1	17	9	8	43%	38%

 

[cway313]

 

[lindend]

Some caveats here. I think there were some anomalies with last year and Mario placed a heavy emphasis on flipping kids that didn't visit in June and the 3rd week only had 6 visitors. I may need to go back to June 22 and see how that cycle went.

 

[lindend]

Found the roll up numbers for the 22 cycle


51% commit rate for June visitors
40% NLI hit rate for June visitors

Defining June as the Biggest Recruiting Month in Years.

2019 LSU was 5th in the team talent calculator. Average recruit ranking was 90.6. The UGA team they beat in the SEC title game was 3rd in team talent calculator with an average recruit ranking of 91.7. 2022 UGA’s average recruit ranking was 93.3. And that recruit ranking is only going to...

www.canesinsight.com

and my prediction for the 23 cycle (which was WAY off)

Defining June as the Biggest Recruiting Month in Years.

2019 LSU was 5th in the team talent calculator. Average recruit ranking was 90.6. The UGA team they beat in the SEC title game was 3rd in team talent calculator with an average recruit ranking of 91.7. 2022 UGA’s average recruit ranking was 93.3. And that recruit ranking is only going to...

www.canesinsight.com

We were nowhere near those percentages in the 23 cycle. Here's to hoping we're closer to the 22 numbers than the 23 numbers.

 

[lindend]

Added an additional table to the OP to compare raw results for each cycle.

Year	June Visit Commit %	June Visit NLI %
24
23	27%	25%
22	51%	40%

 

[grover]

I'm assuming the difference between Commit and NLI is kids that committed then didn't sign, correct? If so, who were they if it's not too much trouble to list?

 

[lindend]

I'm assuming the difference between Commit and NLI is kids that committed then didn't sign, correct?

Sorry, missed this question. Correct.

If so, who were they if it's not too much trouble to list?

It was Riley and Kendall Jackson in last year's class.

 

[lindend]

As of now, we have ~52 OV's scheduled for June with a class size somewhere in the 20-30 range. Post your guesses for commit % and NLI % for June visits and we'll see who ends up the closest when all NLIs are in.

My guesses:

Commit: 40%
NLI: 35%

 

[lindend]

OP updated with closing percentages. Fixed a couple of egregious errors. Its still possible there are some mistakes, if you see any, let me know..


2024

Date	Cancellations	OVs	Commits	NLIs	Closing Percentage	NLI Percentage
May 27-June 2	4	16	5	6	32%	38%
June 3-9	9	11	5	4	45%	36%
June 10-16	3	11	4	4	36%	36%
June 17-23	7	10	5	4	50%	40%

 

[lindend]

Sample size is small but both years in our sample, the third visit weekend is the highest percentage chance of success

After correcting errors, 2024 results show roughly equal success in any visit weekend. Not clear if this invalidated my OP theory or if its an outlier.


2024

Date	Closing Percentage	NLI Percentage
May 27-June 2	32%	38%
June 3-9	45%	36%
June 10-16	36%	36%
June 17-23	50%	40%

2023

Date	Closing Percentage	NLI Percentage
June 1-5	0%	0%
June 6-11	6.25%	6.25%
June 12-18	83%	66%
June 19-26	43%	38%

 

[lindend]

Can someone post a summary?

 

[786Cane]

Can someone post a summary?

We gettin errbody!



Nah. No clue.

 

[lindend]

2025 #s have been tabulated (subject to fixing errors/miscalculations). The first and second weekend is where the key/highest ranked recruits visit and also typically have the most visitors. The stats continue to show that of the kids that don't cancel, the closing percentage is roughly the same regardless of the week they visit. The one variable is the early weeks have a greater percentage of high ranked recruits so the closing percentage will not be as high.


Official Visits Weekends (2025)

Date	5*	Cancellations	OVs	Commits	NLIs	Closing Percentage	NLI Percentage
March 24-30	0	0	1	0	0	0%	0%
May 5-11	1	0	0	0	0	100%	100%
May 26-June 1	5	11	21	7	6	33%	28%
June 2-8	1	2	19	4	8	42%	42%
June 9-15	0	5	13	4	4	30%	30%
June 16-22	0	6	20	5	5	25%	25%

 

[lindend]

The OP stats now reveal:

• The closing percentage is roughly the same for all OV weeks
• Mario has most 5* recruits either the first or second weeks
• The premiere recruits typically visit the first or second weeks
• Mario typically closes on 30-35% of all OVs.