Very thought provoking thread. I will say that outside of Al Golden. The Randy and Richt hires, Weren’t bad hires at the time they made. And early returns seemed favorable. The Golden hire wasn’t good for all of the reasons mentioned. And I don’t think this issue was solely getting a real DC. Ppl forget that the local coaches hated him and it was bad for recruiting.
But here is the deal. There is no exact science to this. It’s all a crap shoot. There is no guarantee that the coach you hired is going to hit. How is Jimbo fisher working out for Texas A & M? Give him time to catch up to Bama, LSU and AU right? Exactly, that’s all you have is time. Frustrated with the results Manny is putting up, sure. but the bottom line is that no matter how vocal the “i Told you so in 2019” crowd wants to be right. Everyone is just going to have to wait and see.
There are only 3 sure things in coaching right now: Saban, Meyer and the Clemson staff (I say staff cuz we don’t know what Dabo will do if he has to to start hiring new coordinators every other year).
Outside of that you are hoping based on previous results that by giving coaches like Patterson, Gundy, Leach more talent than their opponents that their win pct. will increase but you don’t know if that coach has plateaued.
Edit: What about Peterson? To me he’s plateaued at UW in the same spot he did at Boise. Very good well coached team. Stuck on the outside of the championship picture. Waiting on multiple of the top teams to lose to have a chance.