I actually love the matchup. They're very similar to Ohio State. IMO Ohio State is better, and yes, I know Indiana beat them. But we know that game was a total coinflip. And guess what...Vegas thinks Taint it better, too.
Indiana is 127th in pace. They run their offense just like Taint does.... slow and methodical, allowing our defense to rest and get set.
But they play the exact way we're built to handle. They generate a lot of TFLs...guess what we're REALLY good at avoiding? They're 13th in the country in sacks per game....guess what we don't allow?
IMO the whole game comes down to how do we handle Mendoza on 3rd down? They have the best 3rd down offense of the past decade, and Mendoza is on a heater right now. Will they be able to protect him and give him 3 seconds to throw, unbothered? If so, they're going to win, because they're going to convert 3rd downs. If we can keep them in 3rd and medium/long, and pressure him, we're going to get them off the field. But keep an eye on the 3rd down numbers, it's how they make their bones. They have converted 57% this season, that's genuinely historic. Our #1 offense in school history last season finished at 55%. If we look up halfway through the 2nd quarter and they're something like 2/5 or 2/6 on 3rd down, we should be winning and have a good shot to win the game. If they convert 60% on us, they're gonna score a lot of points and we're in trouble.
But I love this matchup. They're smart and disciplined on defense....well, we don't do anything exotic, we just line up and whip your *** and get the ball to playmakers on the outside. They're slow and efficient on offense....well, we have the best DL in pass rush in America, but we're not super deep, so tempo and a quick passing game neutralizes that.
We're gonna win #6.