I listened to several podcasts this week that broke this game down, as there aren't many marquee matchups this weekend. I am gonna have a doomer post later tonight on UNC's offensive numbers as compared to our defensive numbers (will also try to do one for our offense, if I have time. That one would be much more positive).
The short version is UNC is No 1 in the country in explosive runs, has a passing attack to go with it (we all know this), and our defensive numbers are pedestrian and against mostly backup QBs from offenses that aren't highly ranked to begin with. In short, I am nervous that we can't stop them, aside from taking advantage of their weak offensive tackles to pressure Howell and hopefully get a strip-sack or something.
Now, they shouldn't be able to stop us either. My hope is that we get out to an early lead to give us some wiggle room. Howell is pretty much the best 2nd half and especially 4th quarter QB in the country (I think he is literally the best... the stats say so).
If anyone wants to hear a good breakdown, the "Bet the Board" podcast with Todd Furhman (dork, I know) and Payne Insider has a good one. Payne is an FSU alum that lives in SFla and has good connections, is pretty dialed in with Florida football. He is also one of the best in the business, IMO, in breaking down advanced statistitics and using them to predict the game's outcome (i.e., to gamble). He does a good job on this game and it is worth a listen, IMO.
