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If we win out

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Angry Ibis said:

www.espn.com

CFP Bubble Watch: Where do things stand following the first committee ranking?

Trying to make sense of the constantly evolving playoff picture conference by conference.
www.espn.com www.espn.com
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Bracket​


Based on our weekly projection, the seeding would be:

First-round byes

No. 1 Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
No. 2 Indiana
No. 3 Alabama (SEC champ)
No. 4 Texas A&M

First-round games

On campus, Dec. 19 and 20

No. 12 Memphis (American champ) at No. 5 Georgia
No. 11 Virginia (ACC champ) at No. 6 Ole Miss
No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 BYU (Big 12 champ)
No. 9 Texas Tech at No. 8 Oregon

Quarterfinal games

At the Goodyear Cotton Bowl, Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential and Allstate Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1.

No. 12 Memphis/No. 5 Georgia winner vs. No. 4 Texas A&M
No. 11 Virginia/No. 6 Ole Miss winner vs. No. 3 Alabama
No. 10 Notre Dame/No. 7 BYU winner vs. No. 2 Indiana
No. 9 Texas Tech/No. 8 Oregon winner vs. No. 1 Ohio State
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Projections...
I remember when we were part of those.
Good times.
 
That is a...


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It doesn’t matter ND will make it we won’t. We aren’t winning out regardless.
 
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We will need GT and Ville to lose again before the ACC title game. Just like last year with SMU, we can’t go up against another 11-1 ACC team whose second loss is in the champ game.

99% chance we don’t win out, but if we do, we’ll see what happens between us and ND. No metric other than “eye test” are they better than Miami, not to mention the H2H. And if they do get in over us both being 10-2, as I said in the other thread, cancel next years game. If there’s only a negative to playing them, just don’t do it. Pay the fine and schedule a cupcake.
 
DisgruntledSebastianIbis said:
10-2 record. How can our chance to make the CFP only be 9% if the committee will be tripping over themselves to let in a 10-2 ND team that we beat? Do head to head records matter? Are they going to discount that it was the first game of the season? Why wouldn't they discount the entire ND schedule?

ND Schedule:
beat 2-7 Arkansas
beat 5-4 NC State
beat 2-7 Purdue
beat G5 Boise State
beat 6-2 USC
beat 1-8 Boston College
lost to Texas A&M
lost to Miami

Remaining:
Navy (7-1)
Pitt (7-2)
Syracuse (3-6)
Stanford (3-6)

I say all this to say that we will probably lose to Pitts on the last game of the season to make it as gut wrenching and heartbreaking as possible
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If I hit the powerball.
 
Just win the ACCCG and make playoff. Simple. Haven't kept up with the threads, but surely there a way that can happen. Meteors could hit all the schools above us.
 
UMFarArcher said:
If there's a way to lose to Pitt - we'll certainly find it.

Coaching digs holes, and doesn't stop until the game is finished.
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I’m not so confident we will go undefeated until the Pitt game.

Syracuse is in shambles. I don’t see us losing to them. With NC State and VT - if there is a way to lose to them, we’ll certainly find it.
 
If Miami and ND were tied, would there be a play-in game at South Bend?

I'm asking that because the Committee would want to cater to the NBCSports Network, which has the rights to Irish Home Games? I'm going on the assumption that the Committee is nothing but Hired Muscle for the nets and the Big Conferences anyway.
 
SFbayCane said:
The common opponent is Pitt. Here's something I find interesting. Since the game is at Pitt, ESPN/ABC owns the broadcast rights. Normally they would put Notre Dame on ABC but they have #8 BYU @ #9 Texas Tech in that slot. Understandable.

However, they have #5 UGA @ Weakass Mississippi State on ESPN and James Madison @ Marshall on ESPN2. ND-Pitt is on ESPN+. It almost looks to me like they're hiding Notre Dame from the national media this weekend. Can we expect some ACC officiating shenanigans in this one?
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So we want Pitt to knock off ND on abc prime time, then put a beating on Pitt last week of season.

Also, ND has navy this weekend and that Pitt is next weekend. No chance that’ll be on espn+.
 
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Stats02 said:
I’m not so confident we will go undefeated until the Pitt game.

Syracuse is in shambles. I don’t see us losing to them. With NC State and VT - if there is a way to lose to them, we’ll certainly find it.
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Depends on how desperate Mario is to finish 10-2. Mario may be willing to let Dawson pull out his bag of tricks and let Beck do his thing.
 
Let’s just end the embarrassment I don’t care to see this bunch in a playoff. The team is a joke.
 
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