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If we win out

DisgruntledSebastianIbis

DisgruntledSebastianIbis

Freshman
Joined
Oct 18, 2022
Messages
162
10-2 record. How can our chance to make the CFP only be 9% if the committee will be tripping over themselves to let in a 10-2 ND team that we beat? Do head to head records matter? Are they going to discount that it was the first game of the season? Why wouldn't they discount the entire ND schedule?

ND Schedule:
beat 2-7 Arkansas
beat 5-4 NC State
beat 2-7 Purdue
beat G5 Boise State
beat 6-2 USC
beat 1-8 Boston College
lost to Texas A&M
lost to Miami

Remaining:
Navy (7-1)
Pitt (7-2)
Syracuse (3-6)
Stanford (3-6)

I say all this to say that we will probably lose to Pitts on the last game of the season to make it as gut wrenching and heartbreaking as possible
 
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CFP Bubble Watch: Where do things stand following the first committee ranking?

Trying to make sense of the constantly evolving playoff picture conference by conference.
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​

Bracket​


Based on our weekly projection, the seeding would be:

First-round byes

No. 1 Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
No. 2 Indiana
No. 3 Alabama (SEC champ)
No. 4 Texas A&M

First-round games

On campus, Dec. 19 and 20

No. 12 Memphis (American champ) at No. 5 Georgia
No. 11 Virginia (ACC champ) at No. 6 Ole Miss
No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 BYU (Big 12 champ)
No. 9 Texas Tech at No. 8 Oregon

Quarterfinal games

At the Goodyear Cotton Bowl, Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential and Allstate Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1.

No. 12 Memphis/No. 5 Georgia winner vs. No. 4 Texas A&M
No. 11 Virginia/No. 6 Ole Miss winner vs. No. 3 Alabama
No. 10 Notre Dame/No. 7 BYU winner vs. No. 2 Indiana
No. 9 Texas Tech/No. 8 Oregon winner vs. No. 1 Ohio State
 
The ESPN model says there's a 27% of making the playoff if we go 10-2. Our major problems, in order:

1) Actually winning games
2) Actually winning games
3) We need around 7 specific teams to lose games over the next 4 weeks. Texas A&M losing to Texas is bad. Alabama losing to Oklahoma is bad. Any of those things happen and it becomes very tough.

This weekend:
BYU needs to beat Texas Tech
Iowa somehow beating Oregon would help
Auburn beating Vanderbilt
Wake beating UVA
 
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DisgruntledSebastianIbis said:
10-2 record. How can our chance to make the CFP only be 9% if the committee will be tripping over themselves to let in a 10-2 ND team that we beat? Do head to head records matter? Are they going to discount that it was the first game of the season? Why wouldn't they discount the entire ND schedule?

ND Schedule:
beat 2-7 Arkansas
beat 5-4 NC State
beat 2-7 Purdue
beat G5 Boise State
beat 6-2 USC
beat 1-8 Boston College
lost to Texas A&M
lost to Miami

Remaining:
Navy (7-1)
Pitt (7-2)
Syracuse (3-6)
Stanford (3-6)

I say all this to say that we will probably lose to Pitts on the last game of the season to make it as gut wrenching and heartbreaking as possible
Click to expand...

If there's a way to lose to Pitt - we'll certainly find it.

Coaching digs holes, and doesn't stop until the game is finished.
 
"If we win out....."
Canadian Lol GIF
 
DisgruntledSebastianIbis said:
10-2 record. How can our chance to make the CFP only be 9% if the committee will be tripping over themselves to let in a 10-2 ND team that we beat? Do head to head records matter? Are they going to discount that it was the first game of the season? Why wouldn't they discount the entire ND schedule?

ND Schedule:
beat 2-7 Arkansas
beat 5-4 NC State
beat 2-7 Purdue
beat G5 Boise State
beat 6-2 USC
beat 1-8 Boston College
lost to Texas A&M
lost to Miami

Remaining:
Navy (7-1)
Pitt (7-2)
Syracuse (3-6)
Stanford (3-6)

I say all this to say that we will probably lose to Pitts on the last game of the season to make it as gut wrenching and heartbreaking as possible
Click to expand...
Boring! The U does not deserve a trip to CFP! Pop Tart Bowl is where Cristomoron and the band of dummies belong!
 
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hurricaneman said:
The ESPN model says there's a 27% of making the playoff if we go 10-2. Our major problems, in order:

1) Actually winning games
2) Actually winning games
3) We need around 7 specific teams to lose games over the next 4 weeks. Texas A&M losing to Texas is bad. Alabama losing to Oklahoma is bad. Any of those things happen and it becomes very tough.

This weekend:
BYU needs to beat Texas Tech
Iowa somehow beating Oregon would help
Auburn beating Vanderbilt
Wake beating UVA
Click to expand...

TrumpyCane will do a topic after rankings come out

We actually have a great chance, for example Vandy still has to play Tenn, OU still has Bama, etc

Tulane beating Memphis would also do wonders since G5 only get an at large if the G5 team is ranked
 
hurricaneman said:
The ESPN model says there's a 27% of making the playoff if we go 10-2. Our major problems, in order:

1) Actually winning games
2) Actually winning games
3) We need around 7 specific teams to lose games over the next 4 weeks. Texas A&M losing to Texas is bad. Alabama losing to Oklahoma is bad. Any of those things happen and it becomes very tough.

This weekend:
BYU needs to beat Texas Tech
Iowa somehow beating Oregon would help
Auburn beating Vanderbilt
Wake beating UVA
Click to expand...
Why would we want byu to beat TT?

If undefeated BYU loses to a 2-loss TT or someone else in the big 12 CG, they’d have an argument to be in over us, no?
 
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