Each post you make is worse than the last.
hate to say it but OP makes a good point. have had this discussion with a few different people. a loss doesn't seem to matter. for us of course we would be penalized more than any of the other one loss teams and maybe more than a few of the two loss teams. thats why we have to win.
Unequivocally wrong, as you are conveniently ignoring Wisconsin. If Wisconsin and UM both have one losses we would not "of course ... be penalized more than" they would. The most likely scenario is that we would be ranked higher than Wisky, given that we are currently ranked higher than Wisky. It would depend on the losses. If we lose a close game to Clemson, and Wisky loses a close game in it's BIG 10 championship game then we would remain ranked higher, especially considering our marquee blowout win over ND.
The horse has been beaten beyond death, but as many of us have stated our close wins (especially against an abysmal UNC) hurt us. Our big wins over VA Tech and ND have largely -- but not entirely -- overcome it. That's why we're still behind Clemson: the committee, right or wrong, thinks Clemson is going to beat us. I think their analysis is nonsense. But it does not matter, as we play them.
I certainly agree that a loss to Pitt and a win over Clemson absolutely puts us in the playoff, as we'd have two monster wins -- ND and Clemson -- and a conference championship.
But even if our only loss is Clemson, provided its close, we still have a legit shot. That assumes Alabama wins out and eliminates Auburn and UGA, and someone (presumably OSU) beats Wisky. Under that scenario, I believe we would get in over OSU. While OSU would have the conference championship, our resume would be better, as they would have two losses, including a blowout loss to Iowa. Whereas, we would only have one close loss to a top-2 Clemson.