I don't think Manny survives the weekend

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If not NC State, Pitt will for sure deliver the death punch

Gambling tip

NC Stare TT over 27.5
NC State 1H -1.5

I’ve made over $300 this year betting this exact formula every game

I thought Miami might come out inspired cause it’s a night game so adjusted to 1H ML

Cash NCState 1H ML… it was close though
TT over 27.5
….. and Canes win

I’m up over $400 this year on the formula

Now need BJ and Manny to be fired
 
And let me preface this by saying I almost never, ever bet this team, and am usually WAY more optimistic than most fans. So, take this with a grain of salt, as I'm usually wrong (hence the reason I rarely bet on or against Miami).......but I think this is the last weekend for Manny here. I think we're going to get beaten rather convincingly on Saturday and, at 2-5 with yet another home loss on national TV in which we're not especially competitive as only a 3 point dog, they're going to have no choice but to finally let him go.

To me, NC State is the kind of team who can expose Miami badly. In a sense, they're a better Michigan State. The only teams that Miami can beat are teams with really poor defenses, like UVA and UNC (I know we didn't win, but both games were close and could have easily been wins), that they can potentially outscore. Or teams with very poor QBs that they can limit (App State). They can't beat good defenses. And they can't limit good QBs. If you're just a balanced team, Miami really has very little shot, because any good QB is going to score on our defense, and any good defense is going to punish our terrible OL.

NC State is exactly that, IMO. Devin Leary is a good player, and yet while he's not explosive (72nd in the country in YPA, -35 rushing yards on the year), he's very accurate and doesn't make many mistakes (65% completion rate, only 2 INTs in 6 games). Also, they have two kids who are in the top 4 in the conference in missed tackles forced. Zonovan Knight is 2nd with 35 and Ricky Person is 4th with 34. What does Miami struggle with? Limiting QB completion percentage (we're 79th in the country) and missing tackles (worst on planet Earth, possibly beyond). So, I really don't see our defense holding them under 30 points.

On offense, we've started insanely slow the last 2 games with TVD as the QB. In both his starts, we have a grand total of 1 first down in the first quarter of BOTH games combined. And what is the strength of the NC State team? Defense. This is NOT Virginia and NOT North Carolina. UVA is 106th in YPP allowed, UNC is 61st. NC State? 18th. How do they do it? They're near the bottom in sacks and TFLs, so they don't get a lot of negative plays. What they do is play smart, sound football, and they're EXCELLENT on 3rd downs. 2nd in the entire country in defensive 3rd down conversion % allowed. They also don't allow explosive plays. They've only allowed ONE play over 40 yards all year (In contrast, our defense has allowed 6). So they make you earn everything. Not a good recipe with an inaccurate, freshman QB (TVD has completed 47.2% of his passes against FBS competition, which were he qualified, would be far and away dead last in the entire country). So, I really don't see our offense scoring 30 or much above it, unless something really crazy happens (special teams/defensive TD, one of their DBs blows a hammy in coverage, penalties, etc). If this is a "normal" clean game, I really don't see how they don't win by 10+ points.

And if we go out there *AGAIN* against a team who has less talent on paper than we do, at home, on ESPN2, in primetime, and lose something like 35-23, how can you possibly justify keeping a 2-5 Manny when we'll essentially be officially eliminated from any and all of our preseason goals? I don't see how you can justify keeping him now, but I guess the dumbass thinking is "well, the games were close and the team is competitive". Sadly, I don't think that will be the case this week.

(All this to say, bet your life on Miami. We're going to win 58-10, because nothing makes any ******* sense around here)
Lmao.
 
I'm gonna need OP to keep doing what he's doing... We might fuq around and win out...

Thanks for bumping this, I wanted to myself.

Holy **** this team makes absolutely no sense. Peep the last sentence lol. I'm done trying to figure anything out. TVD couldn't hit the broad side of a barn for 2 weeks, he comes out like Drew Brees. We hadn't scored an opening drive TD in 9 games, we come out and go right down the field. We couldn't tackle a dummy all season, Kam makes the biggest play of the night on a great open field tackle. We dropped more passes than any team I've ever seen all season, Rambo makes a bunch of contested catches, Mallory makes a big catch over the middle of the field to end the game. In our 5 FBS games previous, we turned the ball over 10 times. Saturday? Zero.

Bottom line, I have no earthly clue what to expect and am a gigantic moron.
 
Thanks for bumping this, I wanted to myself.

Holy **** this team makes absolutely no sense. Peep the last sentence lol. I'm done trying to figure anything out. TVD couldn't hit the broad side of a barn for 2 weeks, he comes out like Drew Brees. We hadn't scored an opening drive TD in 9 games, we come out and go right down the field. We couldn't tackle a dummy all season, Kam makes the biggest play of the night on a great open field tackle. We dropped more passes than any team I've ever seen all season, Rambo makes a bunch of contested catches, Mallory makes a big catch over the middle of the field to end the game. In our 5 FBS games previous, we turned the ball over 10 times. Saturday? Zero.

Bottom line, I have no earthly clue what to expect and am a gigantic moron.
Team sports are about confidence. TVD was ok in his 1st and 2nd start but he had to build up confidence. Teams go as the QB goes. If he's dealing then it excites the team makes everyone want to play better and that's where the confidence part comes in. People can say whatever they want about Lashlee but he's putting together plays that TVD excels at. Add in Knighting and the offense has confidence right now. Once Arroyo get a rolling thia offense is going be to the type that averages 400+ a game.
 
Pittsburgh has a legit offense, might provide the ‘death blow’ rout many are seeking…
 
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I’m cool with them firing him at the end because if they fire him now, I can see the team winning out under Simpson or Lashlee causing a lazy hire to take place. 😒
 
Pittsburgh has a legit offense, might provide the ‘death blow’ rout many are seeking…
The death blow we are looking for may necessitate some Devine intervention...
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