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The 20 teams that can make the College Football Playoff
According to the Allstate Playoff Predictor, 20 teams have at least a 1% chance to make the College Football Playoff this season, but of those, only seven at least a 1% chance to win it.
1. Ohio State
Last year's record: 11-2
2022 chance to make playoff: 83.1%
2022 chance to win national title: 27.3%
2. Alabama
Last year's record: 13-2
2022 chance to make playoff: 79.7%
2022 chance to win national title: 30.1%
3. Georgia
Last year's record: 14-1
2022 chance to make playoff: 75.2%
2022 chance to win national title: 24.3%
4. Clemson
Last year's record: 10-3
2022 chance to make playoff: 58.2%
2022 chance to win national title: 10.4%
5. Notre Dame
Last year's record: 11-2
2022 chance to make playoff: 17.9%
2022 chance to win national title: 1.7%
6. Michigan
Last year's record: 12-2
Chance to make playoff: 17.6%
Chance to win national title: 1.5%
7. Texas
Last year's record: 5-7
Chance to make playoff: 17.4%
Chance to win national title: 1.6%
8. Oklahoma
Last year's record: 11-2
Chance to make playoff: 11.3%
Chance to win national title: 0.9%
9. Miami
Last year's record: 7-5
Chance to make playoff: 8.8%
Chance to win national title: 0.5%
Toughest test: Sept. 17 at Texas A&M. This will indicate how seriously to take Miami as a contender under first-year coach Mario Cristobal, and a win would also give the Canes a résumé booster that will last the entire season.
What the committee will like: Road wins. In addition to the early trip to A&M, Miami plays at Virginia Tech and at Clemson -- two extremely difficult venues. These trips could either propel the Canes into the top four or knock them out of the conversation entirely. The Nov. 19 crossover game at Clemson could be a sneak preview of the ACC championship game.
What the committee won't like: An 0-2 record against both the Aggies and Clemson. Yes, Miami could redeem a regular-season loss to Clemson in the ACC championship game if they win their respective divisions, but there's not enough on the rest of the schedule for a two-loss ACC champ to finish in the top four without some chaos elsewhere.
10. Utah
Last year's record: 10-4
Chance to make playoff: 7.2%
Chance to win national title: 0.4%
11. Oklahoma State
Last year's record: 12-2
Chance to make playoff: 4.0%
Chance to win national title: 0.2%
12. LSU
Last year's record: 6-7
Chance to make playoff: 3.2%
Chance to win national title: 0.2%
13. Michigan State
Last year's record: 11-2
Chance to make playoff: 2.2%
Chance to win national title: 0.1%
14. Auburn
Last year's record: 6-7
Chance to make playoff: 2.1%
Chance to win national title: 0.1%
15. Texas A&M
Last year's record: 8-4
Chance to make playoff: 2.0%
Chance to win national title: 0.1%
16. Penn State
Last year's record: 7-6
Chance to make playoff: 1.8%
Chance to win national title: 0.1%
17. Pitt
Last year's record: 11-3
Chance to make playoff: 1.3%
Chance to win national title: .1%
18. North Carolina
Last year's record: 6-7
Chance to make playoff: 1.2%
Chance to win national title: 0.1%
19. Kentucky
Last year's record: 10-3
Chance to make playoff: 1.1%
Chance to win national title: 0.1%
20. Cincinnati
Last year's record: 13-1
Chance to make playoff: 1.0%
Chance to win national title: <0.1%
