OrangeBowlMagic
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- Jul 13, 2014
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I think we all agree what's happened to this point is complete bull****, and you don't need to be directly sequential in the rankings for head to head to matter. However, the committee chair has basically said that a few times now. So I wanted to look to see what this committee has done to this point. It's pretty evident, that of all the total nonsense they've done, the only thing they've actually gotten correct is putting teams ahead of others that they beat, when they are right next to each other in the rankings.
Now, you might say this is pointless and Miami is never getting in. I won't argue, nobody has been more vocal on here than me that we'll find some way to get screwed. The books still say we're out...we're +650 on DK. So, my entire point here is that if Bama and Texas Tech win on Saturday, the committee will be under immense pressure to finally make this right. If that happens, and they move BYU down a spot, the natural progression is ND stays at 10, Miami moves up to 11, and now they're directly next to each other in the rankings. Check this out, I went back through every single week of their rankings to this point and looked at teams who had played, and if they were next to each other in the rankings, how the committee placed them:
First Week:
Bama is 4, UGA is 5. Bama had beaten UGA head to head
UGA is 5, Ole Miss is 6. UGA had beaten Ole Miss head to head
Texas is 11, OU is 12. Texas had beaten OU head to head
UVA is 14, Louisville is 15. UVA had beaten Louisville head to head
Second Week:
Bama is 4, UGA is 5. Bama had beaten UGA head to head
Texas is 10, OU is 11. Texas had beaten OU head to head
BYU is 12, Utah is 13. BYU had beaten Utah head to head
USC is 17, Michigan is 18. USC had beaten Michigan head to head
UVA is 19, Louisville is 20. UVA had beaten Louisville head to head
Third Week:
BYU is 11, Utah is 12. BYU had beaten Utah head to head
Fourth Week:
Ole Miss is 7, OU is 8. Ole Miss had beaten OU head to head
Pitt is 22, GT is 23. Pitt had beaten GT head to head
Fifth Week:
OU is 8, Alabama is 9. OU had beaten Alabama head to head
Texas is 13, Vandy is 14. Texas had beaten Vandy head to head
So, unless I'm missing some, there have been 14 instances just this year, from this committee, where teams who have played on the field were listed sequentially in the rankings. IN EVERY SINGLE CASE, the committee actually did apply logic, and the team who won was higher, the team who lost was one spot behind.
All of this to say, they've had 14 tries at this, and they got it right 14 times. If nothing else, they have actually been logical about this particular situation. And it's common sense, for Christ's sake.
So, if you ask me is Miami getting in, my answer is no. We're not allowed to have nice things. But if, somehow, we actually get some luck (you know, the think we've gotten absolutely NONE of the past month), this has the potential to get real interesting. Of course, BYU can get blasted, and these ******** can come out and leave them 11 and tell us you don't get penalized for losing in a conference championship game. They can ***** us however they want. But, the one thing I believe they CANNOT do, is submit a final ballot that has ND 10th and Miami 11th. And that is likely how this is going to go if Bama and Texas Tech win on Saturday. BYU has to drop getting their 2nd loss, especially if they get smoked, Miami naturally moves up one spot. Now you have Miami and Notre Dame, back to back. 14 times this committee has looked at this exact situation, and 14 times they have put the winner on the field ahead of the loser.
Do they do the same on Sunday morning?
Now, you might say this is pointless and Miami is never getting in. I won't argue, nobody has been more vocal on here than me that we'll find some way to get screwed. The books still say we're out...we're +650 on DK. So, my entire point here is that if Bama and Texas Tech win on Saturday, the committee will be under immense pressure to finally make this right. If that happens, and they move BYU down a spot, the natural progression is ND stays at 10, Miami moves up to 11, and now they're directly next to each other in the rankings. Check this out, I went back through every single week of their rankings to this point and looked at teams who had played, and if they were next to each other in the rankings, how the committee placed them:
First Week:
Bama is 4, UGA is 5. Bama had beaten UGA head to head
UGA is 5, Ole Miss is 6. UGA had beaten Ole Miss head to head
Texas is 11, OU is 12. Texas had beaten OU head to head
UVA is 14, Louisville is 15. UVA had beaten Louisville head to head
Second Week:
Bama is 4, UGA is 5. Bama had beaten UGA head to head
Texas is 10, OU is 11. Texas had beaten OU head to head
BYU is 12, Utah is 13. BYU had beaten Utah head to head
USC is 17, Michigan is 18. USC had beaten Michigan head to head
UVA is 19, Louisville is 20. UVA had beaten Louisville head to head
Third Week:
BYU is 11, Utah is 12. BYU had beaten Utah head to head
Fourth Week:
Ole Miss is 7, OU is 8. Ole Miss had beaten OU head to head
Pitt is 22, GT is 23. Pitt had beaten GT head to head
Fifth Week:
OU is 8, Alabama is 9. OU had beaten Alabama head to head
Texas is 13, Vandy is 14. Texas had beaten Vandy head to head
So, unless I'm missing some, there have been 14 instances just this year, from this committee, where teams who have played on the field were listed sequentially in the rankings. IN EVERY SINGLE CASE, the committee actually did apply logic, and the team who won was higher, the team who lost was one spot behind.
All of this to say, they've had 14 tries at this, and they got it right 14 times. If nothing else, they have actually been logical about this particular situation. And it's common sense, for Christ's sake.
So, if you ask me is Miami getting in, my answer is no. We're not allowed to have nice things. But if, somehow, we actually get some luck (you know, the think we've gotten absolutely NONE of the past month), this has the potential to get real interesting. Of course, BYU can get blasted, and these ******** can come out and leave them 11 and tell us you don't get penalized for losing in a conference championship game. They can ***** us however they want. But, the one thing I believe they CANNOT do, is submit a final ballot that has ND 10th and Miami 11th. And that is likely how this is going to go if Bama and Texas Tech win on Saturday. BYU has to drop getting their 2nd loss, especially if they get smoked, Miami naturally moves up one spot. Now you have Miami and Notre Dame, back to back. 14 times this committee has looked at this exact situation, and 14 times they have put the winner on the field ahead of the loser.
Do they do the same on Sunday morning?