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Game 1 predictions: @ Louisville

  • Thread starter Thread starter PalmBeachCane
  • Start date Start date
terdferguson said:
3FW said:
I would say we have had good RBs, but not a good running game. In order to have a good running game you need three things IMO:

1. Ability to get long runs
2. The ability to control possession with your running game
3. The ability to lineup and get a yard 8+ out of 10 times with your running game.

We have had #1, but not 2-3 for a long time. Hopefully that changes with this team. We have to control the clock and get touchdowns off of 5-6 minute drives. In the past we either scored quick or punted quick. Can't win that way. A top 10 defense becomes a top 50 defense with that kind of offense.
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#3 has been a huge problem. The last few years we've given up an inordinate amount of negative running plays. Our running backs routinely are dropped in the backfield for a loss. Now it's 2nd and 12 or 13 or maybe instead of being 3rd and 4, it's 3rd and 8. It's had a real impact on wins and losses in my opinion. These negative running plays are drive killers and are one part of the reason why we were last or near last in the country in t.o.p. We need the offense to sustain drives this year and this is a good place to start.
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Outstanding point...I started a thread on this very thing last yr after the Slapvana ST game. It was early in the season, but the team was on a record setting pace for producing negative plays, in addition to three and outs. I'm highly sceptical of Coach Coley and it may very well have been a Stephen Morris thing, but the offense was not good.
 
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NVA CANE said:
flcanesfan said:
NVA CANE said:
Oh I forgot to mention our Oline is suspect, Dline is suspect, LBs are thin and QB position is in the hands of either a 3 school transfer or a true freshman. Those are not good combinations for victory. Oh and they will probably look to stop the run forcing our QB to beat them.
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Someone needs to give you a hug. You are seriously negative, this is college football, every team has turnover and questions marks every season. The canes are not a powerhouse yet but they will be fine.
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If you can prove that I was wrong about what I said please proceed to indicate how I was wrong. Don't ask me to hide the truth. Please post how I'm wrong and how the Oline, Dline, LBs and QB positions are filled with difference makers and have good depth. I will be waiting.
Click to expand...

Yet you ignore the fact that UL's Oline is a FAR bigger question mark than ours (with ONE returning starter and no big name, highly-regarded backups moving into starting roles), their secondary is bad, they also have questions at QB, with a new, untested starter, a new offense, a new defense with a DC that is not well regarded. You act as if UM is the only team in that game that will have major questions. Difference being, we have improvements over last year in various areas, while UL has lost the best player in their history, practically their entire Oline, and are trying a new defense for the very first time. Those certainly aren't very good combinations for victory either.
 
canedoit said:
terdferguson said:
3FW said:
I would say we have had good RBs, but not a good running game. In order to have a good running game you need three things IMO:

1. Ability to get long runs
2. The ability to control possession with your running game
3. The ability to lineup and get a yard 8+ out of 10 times with your running game.

We have had #1, but not 2-3 for a long time. Hopefully that changes with this team. We have to control the clock and get touchdowns off of 5-6 minute drives. In the past we either scored quick or punted quick. Can't win that way. A top 10 defense becomes a top 50 defense with that kind of offense.
Click to expand...

#3 has been a huge problem. The last few years we've given up an inordinate amount of negative running plays. Our running backs routinely are dropped in the backfield for a loss. Now it's 2nd and 12 or 13 or maybe instead of being 3rd and 4, it's 3rd and 8. It's had a real impact on wins and losses in my opinion. These negative running plays are drive killers and are one part of the reason why we were last or near last in the country in t.o.p. We need the offense to sustain drives this year and this is a good place to start.
Click to expand...

Outstanding point...I started a thread on this very thing last yr after the Slapvana ST game. It was early in the season, but the team was on a record setting pace for producing negative plays, in addition to three and outs. I'm highly sceptical of Coach Coley and it may very well have been a Stephen Morris thing, but the offense was not good.
Click to expand...

I hate to say this because I don't like trashing players but losing Morris is one of the biggest things we have going for us when I weigh the pro's and con's going into this season. He was a one man drive killer - especially once he was working with one ankle and had lost Duke.

I am optimistic when I consider losing him and having Duke back ...... but then I come back to reality when I realize that we still have walk ons and freshman plugging holes on Defense. I really hope & pray to baby Jesus we are wrong about D'Onofrio.
 
38-24 Louisville. On the road in the season opener on a national TV broadcast with a black out with either a scrub, washout or a true freshman at QB is a tough way to start a season. I think it will be close early, but Patrino will make adjustments at half and pull away. They will put a bunch of people in the box to stop Duke and probably bring a lot of pressure to protect their inexperienced safeties. I don't think we can stop them but I don't think we will be able to score enough, either.
 
Whoever we play, I'm sure they'll be good for 6 every time they touch the ball.

Our offense will have to be perfect just to stay even.
 
canedoit said:
terdferguson said:
3FW said:
I would say we have had good RBs, but not a good running game. In order to have a good running game you need three things IMO:

1. Ability to get long runs
2. The ability to control possession with your running game
3. The ability to lineup and get a yard 8+ out of 10 times with your running game.

We have had #1, but not 2-3 for a long time. Hopefully that changes with this team. We have to control the clock and get touchdowns off of 5-6 minute drives. In the past we either scored quick or punted quick. Can't win that way. A top 10 defense becomes a top 50 defense with that kind of offense.
Click to expand...

#3 has been a huge problem. The last few years we've given up an inordinate amount of negative running plays. Our running backs routinely are dropped in the backfield for a loss. Now it's 2nd and 12 or 13 or maybe instead of being 3rd and 4, it's 3rd and 8. It's had a real impact on wins and losses in my opinion. These negative running plays are drive killers and are one part of the reason why we were last or near last in the country in t.o.p. We need the offense to sustain drives this year and this is a good place to start.
Click to expand...

Outstanding point...I started a thread on this very thing last yr after the Slapvana ST game. It was early in the season, but the team was on a record setting pace for producing negative plays, in addition to three and outs. I'm highly sceptical of Coach Coley and it may very well have been a Stephen Morris thing, but the offense was not good.
Click to expand...

this is a very important subtopic in this thread... those plays are crippling, and some of it was on Coley, some on Morris, and some really on an un realized inability of the players we had last year to play at the tempo we were trying to play at... we need to slow things down a bit, we're not Oregon, and Coley is not Chip Kelly, and we do not have a running QB, slow the ***** down, and if you have a negative running play, dont be afraid to huddle up and regroup
 
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dk72 said:
NVA CANE said:
flcanesfan said:
NVA CANE said:
Oh I forgot to mention our Oline is suspect, Dline is suspect, LBs are thin and QB position is in the hands of either a 3 school transfer or a true freshman. Those are not good combinations for victory. Oh and they will probably look to stop the run forcing our QB to beat them.
Click to expand...

Someone needs to give you a hug. You are seriously negative, this is college football, every team has turnover and questions marks every season. The canes are not a powerhouse yet but they will be fine.
Click to expand...
If you can prove that I was wrong about what I said please proceed to indicate how I was wrong. Don't ask me to hide the truth. Please post how I'm wrong and how the Oline, Dline, LBs and QB positions are filled with difference makers and have good depth. I will be waiting.
Click to expand...

Yet you ignore the fact that UL's Oline is a FAR bigger question mark than ours (with ONE returning starter and no big name, highly-regarded backups moving into starting roles), their secondary is bad, they also have questions at QB, with a new, untested starter, a new offense, a new defense with a DC that is not well regarded. You act as if UM is the only team in that game that will have major questions. Difference being, we have improvements over last year in various areas, while UL has lost the best player in their history, practically their entire Oline, and are trying a new defense for the very first time. Those certainly aren't very good combinations for victory either.
Click to expand...
LMAO. With all of those UL changes and they still beat us down. Thank you for proving my point dummy.
 
What was my prediction? 34-24 UL?

Jesus. I'm King Mope and Golden managed to make me look like a homer. What a fat loser.
 
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