I'm glad I invested barely any attention to this game and played golf instead of watching it live. I watched the tape early tonight without knowing the result.
I never thought we would pull it out, even though that opponent was next to nothing and ready to be had, especially since we had the wind in the 4th quarter. Gary Danielson is always an astute analyst. He described perfectly that Washington State had pulled out a number of razor close last second games and otherwise their season could have been radically different. We handed them another one. Even our thin mediocre defense didn't have much trouble with their flimsy one-dimensional offense after the first drive.
Regardless, the entire game from our side reminded me of Dade Countyitis. Stupid undisciplined football, delivering far less than physical ability suggests. I had the feeling we could have had 45 interceptions in our hands and dropped every single one of them. We wasted all three second half time outs. Not one of them helped us at all. I love the checkdown passes on 4th and long and third and long. Has Braad Kaaya been studying tapes of Ryan Tannehill?
I have sympathy for Artie Burns and his family situation but I won't be sad to see him depart. Blame the good players. Fine. I'll be happy to. His game is on skates. We've been fragile and thin and on skates for too long. I want wiry guys who make the unlikely play, not throw their hands up in despair time and again. Washington State had a pathetic high field goal snap but Burns barely rushed so he missed his opportunity off the edge. Naturally he threw his hands to his helmet after that situation also, once he sensed what happened.
As I've long emphasized, everything tends to drift back to the beginning. Just after we score to get back into the game, our kickoff guy remembers that early season skill of yanking it left and out of bounds.
***
This deserves special mention. The Canes once again upheld a trend that has been well known in Las Vegas for decades. For 30 years our offense has been figured out and shut down in bowl games, far beyond the projections going in. It began in that 1985 season against Tennessee in the Sugar Bowl. We were 7.5 point favorites and scored exactly 7. Since that stage we've scored more than the estimate only a handful of times. Even in some of our big bowl wins like 1987 against Oklahoma and 1988 and 1991 against Nebraska we scored far less than the spread/total projection and therefore the one-team total. For example, let's say you are a 3 point favorite and the total is 51. That aligns with a projection of 27-24. There are numerous sportsbooks and offshore sites that deal the one-team totals. Miami's over/under for points scored is 27. This has been going on for decades. It's always exactly the spinoff of the spread and total, although that will never prevent some genius conventional wisdom simpletons from trying to claim that a spread and total are not an actual prediction of the outcome, but merely to balance action.
I have one loud mouthed friend in Las Vegas who always says that the one impossible combination in bowl game betting is Canes and over. It can't happen because Miami will never score enough to match their one-team total, let alone go far enough above to drag the entire game total over. He knows it bugs me but he doesn't care because it's so devastatingly accurate.
The last time Miami went over the one-team total in a bowl game was the 37-14 Rose Bowl victory over Nebraska by the great 2001 team. We were projected to score 33 and had 34 at halftime before finishing with 37 after an offensively lazy second half. Then a few years later we came close, scoring 27 in the victory over Florida, just beneath the one-team total of 27.5.
In every subsequent bowl game the Canes have not managed their one-team total and only occasionally is it remotely close. We fell a few points shy against Nevada. None of the recent ones have threatened. In fact, I'm sure I'll hear from my Las Vegas buddy again tomorrow. I'm surprised it hasn't happened already. He never fails to rub it in after cashing on that trend again. No other team in the country has that type of long term bowl game tendency, whether it's scoring higher than projected or lower.