F^ck Around and Find Out - Encouraging Signs, But Overwhelmingly Concerning Performance

WeBallinBoyz

Whisper "It Just Means More" Again Daddy
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Despite how wildly-eye opening this game was from a multitude of levels, the age old saying “a win is a win” reigns true. It cost a few years off my life, but through 5 weeks of ball, there’s only 26 undefeated teams in America. We’re one of them, so salute to that. Also, **** VT. Just had to get that out there, bunch of trash-talking punks that got what they deserved.

Let’s start with the alarm bells screeching from this game before I finish up with the positives.

***Defense***

We entered last night top 10 in stuff rate, line yards and run defense, as well as #2 nationally in creating chaos and top 5 in havoc. That went poof and dissipated into thin air.

Credit to VT’s OC.
VT fans wanted this guy fired a few days ago, but he was masterful in using Guidry’s aggressiveness against him. We were flat out on skates, completely biting on misdirections, motion, slipping on open field tackles and taking horrible angles on the outside pitch.

DL outside of Barrow and Mesidor (and Bryant) were not good at all on Friday. The most concerning thing to me, is the lack of depth. All that clamoring for Moten, for Justin Scott…yeah, not ready for conference play. Moten most likely will never be, he’s not a Miami-caliber DT; no disrespect to him, I’m sure he’s a wonderful person. But he’s not good enough to hold up here. He’s got misleading metrics against the run in garbage time, but bad tackling grades…as a DT. VT has a banged up, below mediocre OL and they absolutely whipped us tonight. Baron was kept very much in check and whiffed on a slew of tackles. Alston was horrible. We desperately need Bain back to solidify our pass rush. They punted ONCE all game.

If we play defense like we did tonight, Jeff Brohm will carve us like a Thanksgiving Turkey.

It’ll be a reincarnation of last season, they’ll legit drop a 40 burger. Have to be better, have to generate a more consistent pass rush, and finish when we surround the QB. Going into the season, we all knew our secondary was weak, that a good DL should mitigate that issue…we saw what’ll happen if the pass rush doesn’t get home. Time to include pictures so the audience stays engaged and for my visual learners out there.

This secondary is…not good. Richard is had a rough one and hasn’t really excelled at all this season.

IMG_6891.jpeg


Not sure what’s up with DPJ. He’s been flat out bad this season and if he’s our #1 corner, then you know this group lacks talent. Coverage has been an issue, tackling is **** poor, bad angles and busted plays everywhere.

IMG_6905.jpeg


And don’t think getting Damari back will significantly help, because UF was targeting him from the get-go back in week 1, with success too.


Mish Powell had his worst game by far, and has regressed considerably since the opener at UF with regards to pretty much everything. Most importantly IMO, the tackling and coverage were god awful tonight.

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Jaden Harris was atrocious before getting hurt. If you notice a theme here, we did not tackle particularly well on Friday night.

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Kiko…man two underwhelming performances in a row. At least he defended the run and tackled fine against USF. Tonight he was just flat out horrifying.

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He really gets exposed working sideline to sideline in pass coverage, now he’s having trouble tackling (especially in space). I thought USF was a bad performance from him, this was 10x worse. We’re still missing that LB that closes down with impeccable athleticism and hits you hard, yet isn’t reckless in his pursuit. The complete backer if you will. Popo is showing positive signs, but still needs to keep improving.

Hopefully, the young guys can develop…because the current veterans just simply aren’t good enough to take you deep into the playoffs.



***Offense***

Offensively, the OL just isn’t as good as we’ve been led to believe. It’s not just the run blocking (although I will focus on that shortly); it’s the depth (or lack thereof), it’s the inconsistency, it’s the lack of push.

Markel Bell isn’t ready to hold up in conference play. He had a tough task tonight and was given an absolute bs penalty on that George TD, but he’s extremely stiff and gets off balance rather easily. The frame is there, but he still needs work…a lot of it.

Cooper struggled for the first time this season in pass pro, absolutely worked by Peebles (no slouch at DT fwiw). Usually an elite pass blocker, he got whipped.

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We’re definitely missing Rivers, and our OL is clearly better at pass pro than run blocking. There simply seems to be something missing.

I know we’re not allowed to criticize Mirabal on here and someone is going to say “but we were averaging over 200 ypg rushing before coming into tonight”…but look at what your eyes tell you. A lot of those yards come in garbage time against backup DL’s. Tonight, it was the worst it’s been all season.



IMG_6886.jpeg


So Ward is making the pass blocking look better than it really is…

You guys see that run blocking? That was the first four games of the season. Hasn’t been above a 72.3…against Ball State. 64.5 is gross against USF. Peek at the column next to it. Weird how the RB performances actually look pretty good…far exceeding the blocking.

So when people say Martinez isn’t it, he has no wiggle, Fletcher and Lyle are way better…well you guys are idiots and have a different agenda instead of properly analyzing what’s going on. Sorry.

Damien Martinez doesn’t just go from a 1400+ yard back to “garbage”. So maybe, just maybe…it’s a combination of his style of running not being a great fit here (least of the three problems), the run game being very vanilla in general (bigger problem), and also…the run blocking being straight booty juice (biggest problem).

Coming into today, Martinez averaged 4.8 ypc (not bad) despite having an OL that was an average (at best) P4 run blocking unit. He still managed to get it working in the 2H despite the OL getting blown off the ball. His running style isn’t explosive, it’s that he can wear down a defense and punish linebackers and corners in space for yards after contact. That’s kind of hard to do when every run play is between the tackles (no chance to bounce out in space), and the defense is already in the backfield.

And he’s STILL averaging over 3 yards after contact…despite this horrid OL. That’s just my two cents there.

IMG_6910.jpeg


A fair bump in run success can be attributed to Cam’s scrambling when VT inexplicably took away the spy on D, but pretty stark difference for a “trash” RB…

So that was gross, but there are plenty of good things to take from this game.

- Cam is special. Even on an off night and the probably the worst decision-making he’ll make all year, he willed us to victory. Enjoy every snap. He’s a true Heisman contender.

- X will go down as one of the best collegiate receivers in Miami’s history. I get that he won’t be the same guy in the pros. I don’t care. He embodies the will and tenacity of this fanbase to be great again. His hands are SUPERB. Like Cam, enjoy every snap.

- A healthy Arroyo is truly a weapon, and I don’t think he’s nearly come close to his potential. He’s up there in the betting market as one of the top 8 contenders for the Mackey Award, much-deserving.

- Malik Bryant is deserving of a few more snaps off the edge

- Old Miami teams would have quit here. They would have folded, shriveled up, kept getting gashed and worn down. Somehow, someway, we pulled it out. We got kicked in the balls repeatedly, and still kept coming.


VT talked a ridiculous amount of trash all game, they ****ed around and found out.

We had our typical “we’re so good we’re winning the Natty” parade on this board and nearly ****ed around and found out.

Make no mistake - if we play like this against Louisville, we will lose. If we play like this against GT, we will lose. Enjoy the W but flush it, and move on to Cal. Similarly pesky team, with a QB that will want to beat his hometown school.

Let this be a lesson to take no game for granted.
 

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I don’t know why people are so high on Guidry. He hasn’t shown me jack sh*t and his defense was a replay away from giving up another Hail Mary to a marginal ACC opponent. His players seem to be constantly out of position giving up angles and that 50+ TD the RB could have walked backwards into the end zone.
 
I don’t know why people are so high on Guidry. He hasn’t shown me jack sh*t and his defense was a replay away from giving up another Hail Mary to a marginal ACC opponent. His players seem to be constantly out of position giving up angles and that 50+ TD the RB could have walked backwards into the end zone.

Looked like a manny defense!
 
I don’t know why people are so high on Guidry. He hasn’t shown me jack sh*t and his defense was a replay away from giving up another Hail Mary to a marginal ACC opponent. His players seem to be constantly out of position giving up angles and that 50+ TD the RB could have walked backwards into the end zone.
It feels like his guys get up for big games but complacent for others, which falls on him.
 
I dont have thw snap counts but it seems Richards has taken snaps away from oj and i cant understand it, maybe practiced better?
 
The scheduling definitely didn’t do us any favors that was a tough physical game on Sat night vs USF to then have to play VaTech to open conference play on a Friday night.

Honestly the Friday night kick is a little disrespectful for a rivalry game.

Before everyone wants to fire Guidry I will say that styles make fights.

And this week vs this style of opponent he was a little bit predictable and also the corners didn’t show much fight in the run game.
 
Despite how wildly-eye opening this game was from a multitude of levels, the age old saying “a win is a win” reigns true. It cost a few years off my life, but through 5 weeks of ball, there’s only 26 undefeated teams in America. We’re one of them, so salute to that. Also, **** VT. Just had to get that out there, bunch of trash-talking punks that got what they deserved.

Let’s start with the alarm bells screeching from this game before I finish up with the positives.

***Defense***

We entered last night top 10 in stuff rate, line yards and run defense, as well as #2 nationally in creating chaos and top 5 in havoc. That went poof and dissipated into thin air.

Credit to VT’s OC.
VT fans wanted this guy fired a few days ago, but he was masterful in using Guidry’s aggressiveness against him. We were flat out on skates, completely biting on misdirections, motion, slipping on open field tackles and taking horrible angles on the outside pitch.

DL outside of Barrow and Mesidor (and Bryant) were not good at all on Friday. The most concerning thing to me, is the lack of depth. All that clamoring for Moten, for Justin Scott…yeah, not ready for conference play. Moten most likely will never be, he’s not a Miami-caliber DT; no disrespect to him, I’m sure he’s a wonderful person. But he’s not good enough to hold up here. He’s got misleading metrics against the run in garbage time, but bad tackling grades…as a DT. VT has a banged up, below mediocre OL and they absolutely whipped us tonight. Baron was kept very much in check and whiffed on a slew of tackles. Alston was horrible. We desperately need Bain back to solidify our pass rush. They punted ONCE all game.

If we play defense like we did tonight, Jeff Brohm will carve us like a Thanksgiving Turkey.

It’ll be a reincarnation of last season, they’ll legit drop a 40 burger. Have to be better, have to generate a more consistent pass rush, and finish when we surround the QB. Going into the season, we all knew our secondary was weak, that a good DL should mitigate that issue…we saw what’ll happen if the pass rush doesn’t get home. Time to include pictures so the audience stays engaged and for my visual learners out there.

This secondary is…not good. Richard is had a rough one and hasn’t really excelled at all this season.

View attachment 304949

Not sure what’s up with DPJ. He’s been flat out bad this season and if he’s our #1 corner, then you know this group lacks talent. Coverage has been an issue, tackling is **** poor, bad angles and busted plays everywhere.

View attachment 304957

And don’t think getting Damari back will significantly help, because UF was targeting him from the get-go back in week 1, with success too.


Mish Powell had his worst game by far, and has regressed considerably since the opener at UF with regards to pretty much everything. Most importantly IMO, the tackling and coverage were god awful tonight.

View attachment 304955

Jaden Harris was atrocious before getting hurt. If you notice a theme here, we did not tackle particularly well on Friday night.

View attachment 304958

Kiko…man two underwhelming performances in a row. At least he defended the run and tackled fine against USF. Tonight he was just flat out horrifying.

View attachment 304959

He really gets exposed working sideline to sideline in pass coverage, now he’s having trouble tackling (especially in space). I thought USF was a bad performance from him, this was 10x worse. We’re still missing that LB that closes down with impeccable athleticism and hits you hard, yet isn’t reckless in his pursuit. The complete backer if you will. Popo is showing positive signs, but still needs to keep improving.

Hopefully, the young guys can develop…because the current veterans just simply aren’t good enough to take you deep into the playoffs.



***Offense***

Offensively, the OL just isn’t as good as we’ve been led to believe. It’s not just the run blocking (although I will focus on that shortly); it’s the depth (or lack thereof), it’s the inconsistency, it’s the lack of push.

Markel Bell isn’t ready to hold up in conference play. He had a tough task tonight and was given an absolute bs penalty on that George TD, but he’s extremely stiff and gets off balance rather easily. The frame is there, but he still needs work…a lot of it.

Cooper struggled for the first time this season in pass pro, absolutely worked by Peebles (no slouch at DT fwiw). Usually an elite pass blocker, he got whipped.

View attachment 304965


We’re definitely missing Rivers, and our OL is clearly better at pass pro than run blocking. There simply seems to be something missing.

I know we’re not allowed to criticize Mirabal on here and someone is going to say “but we were averaging over 200 ypg rushing before coming into tonight”…but look at what your eyes tell you. A lot of those yards come in garbage time against backup DL’s. Tonight, it was the worst it’s been all season.



View attachment 304966

So Ward is making the pass blocking look better than it really is…

You guys see that run blocking? That was the first four games of the season. Hasn’t been above a 72.3…against Ball State. 64.5 is gross against USF. Peek at the column next to it. Weird how the RB performances actually look pretty good…far exceeding the blocking.

So when people say Martinez isn’t it, he has no wiggle, Fletcher and Lyle are way better…well you guys are idiots and have a different agenda instead of properly analyzing what’s going on. Sorry.

Damien Martinez doesn’t just go from a 1400+ yard back to “garbage”. So maybe, just maybe…it’s a combination of his style of running not being a great fit here (least of the three problems), the run game being very vanilla in general (bigger problem), and also…the run blocking being straight booty juice (biggest problem).

Coming into today, Martinez averaged 4.8 ypc (not bad) despite having an OL that was an average (at best) P4 run blocking unit. He still managed to get it working in the 2H despite the OL getting blown off the ball. His running style isn’t explosive, it’s that he can wear down a defense and punish linebackers and corners in space for yards after contact. That’s kind of hard to do when every run play is between the tackles (no chance to bounce out in space), and the defense is already in the backfield.

And he’s STILL averaging over 3 yards after contact…despite this horrid OL. That’s just my two cents there.

View attachment 304969

A fair bump in run success can be attributed to Cam’s scrambling when VT inexplicably took away the spy on D, but pretty stark difference for a “trash” RB…

So that was gross, but there are plenty of good things to take from this game.

- Cam is special. Even on an off night and the probably the worst decision-making he’ll make all year, he willed us to victory. Enjoy every snap. He’s a true Heisman contender.

- X will go down as one of the best collegiate receivers in Miami’s history. I get that he won’t be the same guy in the pros. I don’t care. He embodies the will and tenacity of this fanbase to be great again. His hands are SUPERB. Like Cam, enjoy every snap.

- A healthy Arroyo is truly a weapon, and I don’t think he’s nearly come close to his potential. He’s up there in the betting market as one of the top 8 contenders for the Mackey Award, much-deserving.

- Malik Bryant is deserving of a few more snaps off the edge

- Old Miami teams would have quit here. They would have folded, shriveled up, kept getting gashed and worn down. Somehow, someway, we pulled it out. We got kicked in the balls repeatedly, and still kept coming.


VT talked a ridiculous amount of trash all game, they ****ed around and found out.

We had our typical “we’re so good we’re wining the Natty” parade on this board and nearly ****ed around and found out.

Make no mistake - if we play like this against Louisville, we will lose. If we play like this against GT, we will lose. Enjoy the W but flush it, and move on to Cal. Similarly pesky team, with a QB that will want to beat his hometown school.

Let this be a lesson to take no game for granted.
Great thread, I agree with you on 98% of the post except that k don’t know if I am ready to crown Ward a Heisman winner! But overall, great stuff!
 
I dont have thw snap counts but it seems Richards has taken snaps away from oj and i cant understand it, maybe practiced better?

Hope these pics don’t look too weird from a graphics standpoint, but first pic is snap counts, then in run defense or sent to bring pressure, last is in coverage.

We had Richard much more in coverage than OJ tonight, you’re right.

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The scheduling definitely didn’t do us any favors that was a tough physical game on Sat night vs USF to then have to play VaTech to open conference play on a Friday night.

Honestly the Friday night kick is a little disrespectful for a rivalry game.

Before everyone wants to fire Guidry I will say that styles make fights.

And this week vs this style of opponent he was a little bit predictable and also the corners didn’t show much fight in the run game.
Fair but good teams aren’t gonna game plan to play his “style”. That’s the point. They’re going to game plan for his/our weaknesses.

VT was running a similar plan that USF did and we didn’t have an answer for the second week in a row. It’s not like this was later on in the season and we hadn’t seen it in a while. This is literally the same **** from last week.
 
I don’t know why people are so high on Guidry. He hasn’t shown me jack sh*t and his defense was a replay away from giving up another Hail Mary to a marginal ACC opponent. His players seem to be constantly out of position giving up angles and that 50+ TD the RB could have walked backwards into the end zone.
I'm with you. Last year, I kept saying there is nothing wrong with Dawson's offensive scheme he just has a suspect QB in Van Dyke. But Guidry is very aggressive on D, and a smart offensive coach will exploit that. Brohm is going to be ready for Miami when we play Louisville. Ga Tech could be an issue as well.
 
Good synopsis.

When you get into conference play, your weaknesses get exposed and will continue to do so every week. ACC OC's aren't stupid, they'll take advantage of our week secondary all season.
When it comes to Martinez, I'm not putting all the blame on him. Our offensive line hasn't gotten push all season in the running game, but I also don't think his running style is a good fit. Fletcher gets north and south quicker and should be getting the larger work load.
 
Good synopsis.

When you get into conference play, your weaknesses get exposed and will continue to do so every week. ACC OC's aren't stupid, they'll take advantage of our week secondary all season.
When it comes to Martinez, I'm not putting all the blame on him. Our offensive line hasn't gotten push all season in the running game, but I also don't think his running style is a good fit. Fletcher gets north and south quicker and should be getting the larger work load.
Won’t necessarily disagree, I just don’t think Fletcher has as much wiggle as people think. Difference of opinion but again, agree on the style of running Martinez displays.

One thing I forgot to add in my OP: if we want to get creative with our running game, we need to get CJ24 the ball. He’s electric in open space, I know we tried the wheel route earlier that was sort of forced, but more of CJ, the better.
 
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From what I saw of Mendoza against FSU, he’s pretty immobile. Think it’s a better matchup for us than the last two weeks, hopefully.

Also don’t think their DL is as good either.
And their OL is banged up and allowed 7 sacks and 12 TFL’s vs. FSU. We should eat…should.

VT is better than Cal despite being 2-3 imo. VT is just poorly coached, hampered with injuries, and has a QB that struggles when forced to stand in the pocket and be an accurate passer.
 
We change HCs yet the overriding theme from a defensive perspective is the missed tackles. How many years are we going to keep talking about this yet the same mistakes happen year after year? If you watch a disciplined D like a Bama, Ga or Ohio State they are light years ahead of us in that department.

Ward isn’t going to be able to pull a Houdini every game. He had some bad moments but down 10 in the 4th he was calm and collected. With Van Dyke under center I think we lose by 10 or more last night.
 
Won’t necessarily disagree, I just don’t think Fletcher has as much wiggle as people think. Difference of opinion but again, agree on the style of running Martinez displays.

One thing I forgot to add in my OP: if we want to get creative with our running game, we need to get CJ24 the ball. He’s electric in open space, I know we tried the wheel route earlier that was sort of forced, but more of CJ, the better.
I agree about CJ, but we can't just bring him in for one specific play. VT sniffed that wheel route out last night. He needs multiple touches in multiple different formations so DC's can't scheme against him.
 
The criticism for the defense is fair. Far too harsh on the OL. It was a bad night and we racked up 500 yards of offense. We scored touchdowns on basically every had to have it drive. OL play is hard in this era of the portal and incredible defensive lines littered throughout the country. This was a bad night for a still elite OL, compared to the rest of college football.
 
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