CaneFan79
Senior
- Joined
- Dec 29, 2013
- Messages
- 4,881
The money is not shrinking. In fact the pie will continue to get bigger. Just because ESPN may not get the lion's share of distribution rights and money in the future, doesn't mean it won't end up somewhere else, in fact, it will. Whether it's Amazon, Twitter, Apple, Netflix, the NCAA itself, or combination thereof there will be another distribution vehicle it just may not be at ESPN or they may have a reduced role. But there is no ceiling in terms of the money right now that I can see.
Only when viewership/interest/ratings are in documented significant decline (like possibly in the NFL) can you make a cogent argument that the money is starting to reach a possible ceiling.
College Football Playoff Ratings Slightly Up Over Last Year But Way Down From 2014 | Mediaite
The viewership is already tiring of the same team model Marky Mark and his NCAA Funky Bunch are providing by not truly leveling the playing field. You have to provide compelling television, with almost fictional storylines and identifiable characters. Does anybody watch Indy Car racing anymore? The seeds of the decline were AJ Foyt and the Unser's retiring. Boxing after Mike Tyson and the great welterweights were gone? NASCAR has never recovered from Dale Earnhardt's death...What goes up must come down or even crash, be it stock markets or aircraft.
A sutainable model, with spending caps in place, allows a variety of teams to compete and storylines to flourish. You can hope new revenue streams (Netflix, Amazon, etc.) materialize, but I would not bet on it. Unless CFB cuts out costs for the majority of teams, it will become the next boxing, NASCAR, etc....ABC used to PAY to televise the Pro Bowlers tour; don't be too sure of ever imcreasing revenues.