Rumor EMPIRICALLY SPEAKING | Week 4 Preview: Central Michigan at No. 6 Miami (FL)

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EMPIRICALLY SPEAKING | Week 4 Preview: Central Michigan at No. 6 Miami (FL)
CMU has zero passing TDs this season. The Canes average 11.0 yards per throw.

My take: CMU is a run-only team walking into a defense that has allowed 2.3 yards per carry and zero rushing TDs all year. If Miami (FL) forces Angel Flores to throw, this gets out of hand early. The one thing that we need to watch is fourth down. CMU is 8 for 9 and isn't afraid to go for it.

THE NUMBERS (per game, 3 games each)
Miami (FL) /// CMU
Points scored 51.7 /// 14.7
Total yards 594.3 /// 265.3
Yards per play 8.6 /// 4.5
Yards per pass 11.0 /// 3.1
Points allowed 11.0 /// 19.3
Rush yards allowed 45.7 /// 153.3


3 KEYS WE SHOULD GRADE AFTER THE GAME
1. Hold CMU under 150 rushing yards (they average 219.3)
2. CMU converts 2 or fewer fourth downs (8 of 9 so far)
3. Miami (FL) averages 10+ yards per pass (season: 11.0)


PLAYERS TO WATCH
Miami (FL):

QB Darian Mensah (71 of 79, 873 yds, 11 TD, 0 INT)
WR Malachi Toney (28 catches, 444 yds, 5 TD)
WR Cooper Barkate (10 catches, 96 yds, 2 TD)
CMU:
QB Angel Flores (312 rushing yds, 3 TD)


THE PICK: Miami (FL) 45, Central Michigan 13
Last week my blind drunk dart throwing monkey had 45-24 at Wake and the contest finished 33-20. I'll keep a running tally in every review. Your mileage may vary.


Your turn: who's the breakout player Saturday night?
 
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EMPIRICALLY SPEAKING | Week 4 Preview: Central Michigan at No. 6 Miami (FL)
CMU has zero passing TDs this season. The Canes average 11.0 yards per throw.

My take: CMU is a run-only team walking into a defense that has allowed 2.3 yards per carry and zero rushing TDs all year. If Miami (FL) forces Angel Flores to throw, this gets out of hand early. The one thing that we need to watch is fourth down. CMU is 8 for 9 and isn't afraid to go for it.

THE NUMBERS (per game, 3 games each)
Miami (FL) CMU​
Points scored 51.7 14.7
Total yards 594.3 265.3
Yards per play 8.6 4.5
Yards per pass 11.0 3.1
Points allowed 11.0 19.3
Rush yards allowed 45.7 153.3


3 KEYS WE SHOULD GRADE AFTER THE GAME
1. Hold CMU under 150 rushing yards (they average 219.3)
2. CMU converts 2 or fewer fourth downs (8 of 9 so far)
3. Miami (FL) averages 10+ yards per pass (season: 11.0)


PLAYERS TO WATCH
Miami (FL):

QB Darian Mensah (71 of 79, 873 yds, 11 TD, 0 INT)
WR Malachi Toney (28 catches, 444 yds, 5 TD)
WR Cooper Barkate (10 catches, 96 yds, 2 TD)
CMU:
QB Angel Flores (312 rushing yds, 3 TD)


THE PICK: Miami (FL) 45, Central Michigan 13
Last week my blind drunk dart throwing monkey had 45-24 at Wake and the contest finished 33-20. I'll keep a running tally in every review. Your mileage may vary.


Your turn: who's the breakout player Saturday night?
Jordan Lyle and Dre Jacobs.
 
EMPIRICALLY SPEAKING | Week 4 Preview: Central Michigan at No. 6 Miami (FL)
CMU has zero passing TDs this season. The Canes average 11.0 yards per throw.

My take: CMU is a run-only team walking into a defense that has allowed 2.3 yards per carry and zero rushing TDs all year. If Miami (FL) forces Angel Flores to throw, this gets out of hand early. The one thing that we need to watch is fourth down. CMU is 8 for 9 and isn't afraid to go for it.

THE NUMBERS (per game, 3 games each)
Miami (FL) /// CMU
Points scored 51.7 /// 14.7
Total yards 594.3 /// 265.3
Yards per play 8.6 /// 4.5
Yards per pass 11.0 /// 3.1
Points allowed 11.0 /// 19.3
Rush yards allowed 45.7 /// 153.3


3 KEYS WE SHOULD GRADE AFTER THE GAME
1. Hold CMU under 150 rushing yards (they average 219.3)
2. CMU converts 2 or fewer fourth downs (8 of 9 so far)
3. Miami (FL) averages 10+ yards per pass (season: 11.0)


PLAYERS TO WATCH
Miami (FL):

QB Darian Mensah (71 of 79, 873 yds, 11 TD, 0 INT)
WR Malachi Toney (28 catches, 444 yds, 5 TD)
WR Cooper Barkate (10 catches, 96 yds, 2 TD)
CMU:
QB Angel Flores (312 rushing yds, 3 TD)


THE PICK: Miami (FL) 45, Central Michigan 13
Last week my blind drunk dart throwing monkey had 45-24 at Wake and the contest finished 33-20. I'll keep a running tally in every review. Your mileage may vary.


Your turn: who's the breakout player Saturday night?
Suggestion.....add a spoiler with some wholesome Roman ladies and you are onto something.....
 
They will grind this out to give us the minimum number of possessions... probably won't get more than 5 or 6 possessions per half at best.

Thought that we played a similar boring game last season... don't remember the opponent.
 
I like it. Rather than Break Out Player of the game, I'm going with Break Out Position: at Guard. They have caught some heat, probably tired of hearing about it - aren't up against an overwhelming front and are finally going to show the results of getting coached up. Keeping my fingers crossed so hard they hurt.
 
I’d prefer they sit Fletch. Play Mensah and Mali for 1 quarter only if they insist on padding stats. I want to see a different OL setup. I don’t think this game will tell us much about the defense. The FSU kicker/special teams needs some practice. It wouldn’t surprise me if we got a punt and/or FG blocked in a meaningful game.

Oh, I’ll pick Pringle to go off.
 
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This will continue to be the Darian Mensah and Malachi Toney show. Expect Mali to go 8-150-2

Mallory gets the start at RB1 if Fletcher is limited and he goes for a buck and a tud

Gimme the over 5.5 on Jacob’s/Wingo combined catches.
 
Excellent post, OP. But there's something missing that I can't quite put my finger on.

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