forums

Clemson Matchup

Advertisement
MichiCANE said:
The thing I gather the most from this is a point you alluded to.

Clemson's kicker will go 8/8, with a long of 63 in the final seconds and we'll lose 24-21
Click to expand...

Hahaha.......maybe, just maybe, this is the game where the opposing kickers' numbers against us begin to regress to the mean. I keep thinking it's going to happen, but game after game, every kicker hits a tough 40-50 yard FG that would have been good from 65 to **** near 70.
 
UMFarArcher said:
407cane said:
note*
The games against Toledo and UVA skewed our defensive stats downward heavily. Two dominant performances in those two games and we could have been looking at top 20 across the board. So don't let the stats scare you in any way because we could right up there with clemson in any metric (other than 3rd down pct)


all stats are against FBS teams (Clemson played 1 FCS team in the Citadel and we played BCU).

Going to put these long scrimmage play stats first since I think it's important and main reason why Clemson is beatable

Before the USCe game, not sure how many were completed Saturday, Bryant was 0-15 in his last 15 deep passes (20+yards). Expect us to pack the box and try to make him beat us, similar to the way we played wimbush

Long passing plays from scrimmage (20+yards)
Clemson: 29 (2.9 per game)
Miami: 43 (4.3 per game)


Long passing plays from scrimmage (30+ yards)
Clemson: 12 (1.2 per game)
Miami: 20 (2 per game)


Plays per game
Clemson: 76
Miami:66

Points Per game
Clemson:32.8 (30th) PUSH
Miami: 31.0 (40th)

Yards Per Play
Clemson: 5.78 (50th)
Miami: 6.21 (31st) they are TERRIBLE in down the field throws, running game is what we need to stop

Redzone Scoring
Clemson: 91% (21st) PUSH
Miami: 93.9% (11th)

Redzone TD %
Clemson: 74% 28/38 touchdowns in redzone
Miami: 60% 20/33 (not the huge problem that we made it out to be as we are slowly climbing back up toward normalcy

3rd down conversion %
Clemson: 45.6% (17th in the country) huge gap here, 2nd best 3rd down team we've played all year (GT)
Miami: 29.46% (123rd)

drop off from 100th to where we are at 123rd is 9%, which is incredible and we are absolutely terrible at this. all comes back to Oline in my opinion getting zero push on early downs


Rushing yards per attempt
Clemson: 5.01(30th)
Miami: 4.66 (41st)

Kicking
Clemson: 56.3% --> okay so the F'n pitt guy made a long field goal and he sucks, how? idk, but clemson guy is trash too so i expect a career day for him
Miami: 83.33%

Offensive play breakdown
Clemson: 56% rushing 44% passing
Miami: 53% passing 47% rushing

Time of Possession
Clemson: 30:00
Miami: 27:00

Allowed Sacks
Clemson: 1.83/game (55th)
Miami: 1.83/game (55th) PUSH

Total Yards per game
Clemson: 439 (31st)
Miami: 410 (50th)

DEFENSE

Opponents Yards per play
Clemson: 4.41(4th) --> Elite
Miami: 4.74 (11th) <--- 8th before UVA and Pitt games

Total Defensive yards allowed per game
Clemson: 289 (6th)
Miami: 359 (35th)

Opponents Rush Yard per attempt
Clemson: 3.10 yards (8th) (VT is #1 5 for reference)
Miami: 3.65 (28th)

Opponents completion %
Clemson: 51.9% (13th) (VT is #1 for reference)
Miami:54.7% (29th) --> up from 49.8%, huge skewed metric from virginia qb, we were 3rd

Opponent's 3rd down conversion %
Clemson: 28.57% (6th) (Virginia Tech is #2 for reference)
Miami: 38% (57th)

Tackles For Loss
Clemson: 8.2 (7th)
Miami: 8.8/game (2nd)

Sacks
Clemson: 3.55 (2nd) (VT and UVA are tied for 42nd for reference
Miami: 3.80 (1st) (this is even after a lousy performance and minimal sacks vs pitt

Turnover Margin
Clemson: +1 (+0.09/game (60th in the country))
Miami: +15 (+1.5 per game (1st in the country)) we will win because of this stat more than anything else, Bryant still a freshman. we have forced 13 more this year than clemson has

Defensive Passing Efficiency
Clemson: 7th
Miami: 11th (we were above clemson until UVA happened)

Scoring Defense
Clemson: 28.4 (4th) (virginia tech is 3rd for reference)
Miami: 18.3 (14th)


*note, as you can see by my many VT references, this isn't the best defense we have played this year in my opinion. Talent wise? Yes by far, but not the best. Vennables is no joke but we should not be terrified of a defense that performs worse than one we walked all over earlier in the year. Will it be a battle? yes, especially if the Offensive line doesn't get any push, but they have played in the same conference as VT and i don't see anything that should scare us more than VT did ( i have a lot of respect for foster and he has proven it this year, less talented and they play some amazing ball)

*Clemson is great in the TFL and sack department (right behind us), but they don't do the thing that matters most, they only have forced 13 turnovers this year and are only +1 on the season against FBS teams. This stat makes me feel a lot better as this is the biggest game of Bryants freshman year.

*Clemson does not have a downfield passing game. This is how UVA scared us. I don't think Clemson will have same success, Benkert was not amazing, but he was a senior who knew how to play coverages, Bryant will struggle and I don't expect many big plays against us (hopefully)

*they score touchdowns in the redzone, we have to force field goals if we are going to win (their kicker is 56% on the season)



Final Thought
we CAN win this game, and it shouldn't shock people if we do. Will we? I have no idea, definitely the best team we play all year, but we match up well IF our offensive line can hold we will win.

game lies on rosier's shoulders, because their secondary will allow big plays. Need to hit the open man and we need the Offensive line to get push. Really worried about our offensive line in this game. VT was great but they play differently and don't cause as many negative plays as clemson does.

Need to see the chain, they are BAD in turnover margin and we are the BEST, needs to stay that way saturday if we are going to win



what do you guys think? if you find any other noteworthy stats please post (not just stats that are good for us, trying to look for true indicators of how good each team is) I added a few here to show how great clemson is
Click to expand...


One thing you left out.

Their field goal kicker is worser than Stevie Wonder.
Click to expand...

Against us he will be 5-5 with a 60 harder
 
JgDaCane said:
Nixed said:
spiniker87 said:
Last time Dabo faced Richt, he was trucked 45-21
Click to expand...

This doesn't mean much dude, we don't exactly have Todd Gurley running for us and a solid offensive line.
Click to expand...

It’s can ONLY be positive
Click to expand...

I suppose that's true. Regardless, i don't know why everyone on here is constantly ****ting on Richt and our coaching. They seem to be able to coach guys up, and make mid-game adjustments pretty frequently.
 
Advertisement
too much pvssification going on,

bump so people can see stats and understand we can take this thing
 
Happy Adjuster mode is always interesting. We not only want to get rid of the Toledo and Virginia results, but turn them into "dominant" defensive performances. Okay.

I'm quite sure if the Canes had defeated Auburn in September while holding them to 117 yards total offense and less than 1 yard per rush, it wouldn't be dismissed here as "not the same team." We would be asserting that our defense had caused them to not look anything like they did the rest of the season. Auburn gained more than 500 yards while struggling on the scoreboard against Mercer the following week, and had more than 350 yards during the defeat at LSU.

We are rightfully the significant underdog. Need big plays. Not impossible.
 
Awsi Dooger said:
Happy Adjuster mode is always interesting. We not only want to get rid of the Toledo and Virginia results, but turn them into "dominant" defensive performances. Okay.

I'm quite sure if the Canes had defeated Auburn in September while holding them to 117 yards total offense and less than 1 yard per rush, it wouldn't be dismissed here as "not the same team." We would be asserting that our defense had caused them to not look anything like they did the rest of the season. Auburn gained more than 500 yards while struggling on the scoreboard against Mercer the following week, and had more than 350 yards during the defeat at LSU.

We are rightfully the significant underdog. Need big plays. Not impossible.
Click to expand...
Seeing as we are more talented than both of those teams and those are the two games we performed most poorly in I felt it was necessary to say that if we had simple shown up in the first half of these games we could be ranked a lot higher as our defensive ranking is typically a talking point on the board

Anyone with half a brain doesn't judge our season based on the first half of Toledo or first half vs Uva I would hope (our two worst games statistically)

If at the beginning of the season you told me we would dominate VT and a #3 ND that was steamrolling people but would allow Toledo to score 30 and UVA 28 it would be surprising


The stats include those games so no "happy adjuster mode" as you stated



Also you're right Clemson is elite and very good but that is NOT the same Auburn team that beat UGA and bama , not even close.

We have the athletes and speed to beat Clemson just comes down to our offensive line and Rosier
 
Secondary has been injured most of the year, still missing two key contributors (Edmond and Fields). However, the WR that turned DB (McCloud) is back at WR, and Clemson will play at least two of their best cover corners on Saturday (Ryan Carter, Trayvon Mullen)
 
Back
Top