You're making an awful bold assumption that the committee would value a blowout win against a bad team over a close win against a ranked team. Especially since they've already put Georgia ahead of Alabama based solely on the fact that they value a nail biter victory over Notre Dame over any of Alabama's blowout wins against inferior teams.
Clearly, you don't understand. I didn't make any "bold assumptions".
Wisconsin is already ahead of us. The knock on Miami is that we have too many close victories/escapes.
So if Wisconsin does everything Wisconsin can do (i.e., win by a large margin on the road), and Miami does "what the CFP Committee thinks we do" (i.e., win by a small, lucky margin at home), then (a) Wisconsin has not given the committee a reason to drop them, and (b) Miami has not given the committee a reason to vault them.
See how that works? It's not a "one-week analysis" of Wisconsin's big margin of victory vs. another one of Miami's lucky escapes. It is more about how the bias as to the "body of work" is confirmed for each team by each of those outcomes.
This isn't difficult. Some heel-draggers are making it so.
A victory by any margin over Virginia Tech drastically changes Miami's "body of work". A victory over Notre Dame a week later even more so. You're placing the same exact value on every single game regardless of quality of opponent. Do you honestly believe that the committee values blowout wins against bad teams over close victories over good teams. They already proven that not to be the case (see Georgia over Alabama).
You're just saying things because you want them to be true. You don't have any proof of it, but you don't seem to care.
No, a 1-point victory over VaTech doesn't "drastically" change Miami's body of work, particularly if VaTech continues to lose. VaTech was a pre-season
#21 in AP, and they might drop below that point if Miami beats them and then they lose to GaTech and/or Virginia. And a victory over Notre Dame might be our ONLY "impressive win" of the season.
Do I honestly believe that the committee values blowout wins against bad teams? Why yes, yes I do. And they PROVED it by putting Miami at
#10 (not to mention the AP voters DROPPING us in the rankings) when we "only" beat a 1-7 team by less than a touchdown.
If Miami had won by 4 TDs, we would NOT have dropped in AP, we likely would have been AHEAD of Wisconsin, and we may even have been ahead of a couple more 1-loss teams.
So it doesn't matter what MY OPINION is, I am simply observing the ACTUAL BEHAVIOR of the AP voters and the CFP Committee. And both have proven that a "blowout win against a bad team" would have helped Miami, and a last-minute win against a bad team actually HURT Miami.
This actually happened. It's not a hypothesis.