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Betting Season 2025

SGP for Miami usf want some thoughts
+400
-Miami ML enough said
-Lofton u2.5 rec - don’t think he’s 100% healthy yet
-Beck +3 pass td - he will get 2 for sure. I think we score a ton
-Daniels yards (50) Would’ve done anything Toney but nothing on the books (maybe can’t bet him cause he’s 17?) Beck’s has chemistry him Daniels and should take advantage of usf dbs
 
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Week 2 Results:

Favored (18 picks – Hit on 11 of 18)
  • Maryland (Won)
  • SMU (Lost)
  • Memphis (Won)
  • Iowa State (Won)
  • New Mexico (Won)
  • Oregon State (Lost)
  • Cincinnati (Won)
  • Navy (Won)
  • Ole Miss (Won)
  • Florida (Lost)
  • Oklahoma (Won)
  • USC (Won)
  • Arizona State (Lost)
  • Virginia Tech (Lost)
  • UCLA (Lost)
  • Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (Won)
  • Tulsa (Lost)
  • BYU (Won)
​
Upsets (17 picks — Hit on 5 of 17 outright; +3 covers)
  • James Madison (Lost / Covered)
  • Jacksonville State (Won)
  • Duke (Lost)
  • Virginia (Lost)
  • Sam Houston State (Lost)
  • Sacramento State (Lost).
  • Texas State (Won)
  • Oklahoma State (Lost)
  • Kansas (Lost)
  • Ohio (Won)
  • Rice (Lost)
  • Western Kentucky (Lost)
  • South Alabama (Lost / Covered)
  • Boston College (Lost / Covered))
  • UTEP (Won)
  • New Mexico State (Won)
  • San Diego State (Lost)
Totals – 16 of 35
 
Week 3 @Memnon Picks

All times EASTERN time zone.


FAVORED (26 Picks)

UCLA > New Mexico – 9/12 @ 9:00pm
Clemson > Georgia Tech – 9/13 @ 12:00pm
Oklahoma > Temple – 9/13 @ 12:00pm
Nebraska > Houston Christian – 9/13 @ 12:00pm
Memphis > Troy – 9/13 @ 12:00pm
Oregon > Northwestern – 9/13 @ 12:00pm
Alabama > Wisconsin – 9/13 @ 12:00pm
Buffalo > Kent State – 9/13 @ 12:00pm
Auburn > South Alabama – 9/13 @ 12:45pm
Missouri > UL Lafayette – 9/13 @ 1:00pm
Ball State > New Hampshire – 9/13 @ 2:00pm
Texas Tech > Oregon State – 9/13 @ 3:30pm
USC > Purdue – 9/13 @ 3:30pm
SMU > Missouri State – 9/13 @ 3:30pm
UTSA > Incarnate Ward – 9/13 @ 3:30pm
Texas > UTEP – 9/13 @ 4:15pm
Marshall > Eastern Kentucky – 9/13 @ 6:00pm
Charlotte > Monmouth – 9/13 @ 6:00pm
Georgia Southern > Jacksonville State – 9/13 @ 7:00pm
Georgia State > Murray State – 9/13 @ 7:00pm
Ole Miss > Arkansas – 9/13 @ 7:00pm
East Carolina U > Coastal Carolina – 9/13 @ 7:30pm
UAB > Akron – 9/13 @ 8:30pm
Air Force > Utah State – 9/13 @ 9:45pm
Texas State > Arizona State – 9/13 @ 10:30pm
Boston College > Stanford – 9/13 @ 10:30pm


UPSETS (19 Picks):

Wake Forest +7.5 > NC State (Lost) – 9/11 @ 7:00pm
Colorado +4.5 > Houston – 9/12 @ 7:30pm
Arizona +1.5 > Kansas State – 9/12 @ 9:00pm
Delaware +9.5 > UConn – 9/13 @ 3:00pm
Washington State +5.5 > North Texas – 9/13 @ 3:30pm
Tennessee +3.5 > Georgia – 9/13 @ 3:30pm
West Virginia +7.5 > Pittsburg – 9/13 @ 3:30pm
Bowling Green +4.5 > Liberty – 9/13 @ 5:00pm
Middle Tennessee +9.5 > Nevada – 9/13 @ 5:00pm
FAU +1.5 > FIU – 9/13 @ 6:00pm
Southern Miss +3.5 > Appalachian State – 9/13 @ 7:00pm
University of Florida +6.5 > LSU – 9/13 @ 7:30pm
Texas A&M +6.5 > Notre Dame – 9/13 @ 7:30pm
New Mexico State +9.5 > Louisiana Tech – 9/13 @ 7:30pm
Vanderbilt +3.5 > South Carolina – 9/13 @ 7:45pm
Wyoming +23.5 > Utah – 9/13 @ 8:00pm
Duke +1.5 > Tulane – 9/13 @ 8:00pm
Tulsa +14.5 > Navy – 9/13 @ 8:00pm
California +2.5 > Minnesota – 9/13 @ 10:30pm


Loving the UF upset call. Gonna be a fun one, they either bounce back and expose Kelly for losing big games, or they become the punching bag for the season for the rest of us. IMO.

Texas A&M over Notre Dame caught my eye too! Gonna be a fun weekend.

Latest approach is I'll run all the upsets for $10 each. Then I'll run them for $10 each with the points. Will jump in tonight with a 3 leg parlay on the 2 upsets + 1 favorite for today, and figure out the rest tomorrow lol.
 
So K State is this years FSU

UCLA and Stanford are by far the 2 worst P4 teams
 
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FanDuel, give Malachi Toney a TD prop you cowards!! If I can get it I’m playing that + Canes -13.5 for Saturday against the Gaytas
 
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Hand up 🙋‍♂️ I had USF covering first half and us covering game…. Complete whiff. This team is for real. This is going to hit with EASE. As you can see I’m about out besides my futures 😅
 
Winners for the week:

Charlotte
OK ST

Rutgers
SMU

Ole Miss
TTech
Clemson
Oklahoma

Liberty
EMU

Western Kentucky
Wash ST

UTEP
UTSA
USC

Memphis
Tennessee

UNC
Baylor

Maryland
VA Tech

Louisville
Miami of Ohio

Army
Nebraska

Purdue
UCONN

Buffalo
Toledo

Duke
Miss ST

San Jose ST
West VA

Delaware
Ark ST

Duquesne
Mizzou

MTSU
Air Force

South Alabama
Illinois

Vanderbilt
UVA

ECU
Southern Miss

Texas ST
Colorado

Cal
Hawaii
 
Week 3 @Memnon Results:

Favored (26 picks – Hit on 21 of 26)

• UCLA (Lost)
• Clemson (Lost)
• Oklahoma (Won)
• Nebraska (Won)
• Memphis (Won)
• Oregon (Won)
• Alabama (Won)
• Buffalo (Won)
• Auburn (Won)
• Missouri (Won)
• Ball State (Won)
• Texas Tech (Won)
• USC (Won)
• SMU (Won)
• UTSA (Won)
• Texas (Won)
• Marshall (Won)
• Charlotte (Won)
• Georgia Southern (Won)
• Georgia State (Won)
• Ole Miss (Won)
• East Carolina (Won)
• UAB (Won)
• Air Force (Lost)
• Texas State (Lost)
• Boston College (Lost)

​
Week 3 Results: Upsets (19 picks — Hit on 9 of 19 outright + 1 cover)

• Wake Forest (Lost)
• Colorado (Lost)
• Arizona (Won)
• Delaware (Won)
• Washington State (Lost)
• Tennessee (Lost / Covered)
• West Virginia (Won)
• Bowling Green (Won)
• Middle Tennessee (Won)
• FAU (Lost)
• Southern Miss (Won)
• University of Florida (Lost)
• Texas A&M (Won)
• New Mexico State (Lost)
• Vanderbilt (Won)
• Wyoming (Lost)
• Duke (Lost)
• Tulsa (Lost)
• California (Won)

​
Week 3 Totals (Percentages):

Favorites @ 81% hit rate
Underdogs @ 47 % hit rate
Overall – 30 / 45 @ 57%

Personal Results: Somehow managed to whiff on a lot of great parlays, but I came close and as always had a blast.

On my straight bets on the Underdogs: (I missed the Wake Forest Bet, so only bet 18):
$10 X 18 = $180 Bet - $256 Returned = 42.2% Gain (!!!)

On my To Cover Bets:
$10 x 18 = $180 Bet - $189.79 Returned = 5.4% Gain

I usually wait a few weeks to dial into a season in terms of actual ROI. My current thoughts are that I’m not sure the Cover bets are worth it. The Upsets continue to be pretty profitable but because I’m gambling for fun I’m basically giving all of it back on blown parlays.

I've no idea how many follow this type of thread from this year and last, but to those passively watchin, it's been pretty consistently profitable most weeks to straight bet moneyline on all Memnon underdogs, and he seems to get more dialed in as the Season goes. I've had great weeks, break even weeks, and very few losing weeks.
 
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Week 4 @Memnon Picks

All times EASTERN time zone.

FAVORED (26 Picks)

Oklahoma State > Tulsa – 9/19 @ 7:30pm
Clemson > Syracuse – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Virginia Tech > Wofford – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Louisville > Bowling Green – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Tennessee > UAB – 9/20 @ 12:45pm
Ole Miss > Tulane – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
Oklahoma > Auburn – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
UConn > Ball State – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
Buffalo > Troy – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
Toledo > Western Michigan – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
Duke > NC State – 9/20 @ 4:00pm
Mississippi State > Northern Illinois – 9/20 @ 4:15pm
San Jose State > Idaho – 9/20 @ 5:00pm
Arkansas State > Kennesaw State – 9/20 @ 6:00pm
Missouri > South Carolina – 9/20 @ 7:00pm
South Alabama > Coastal Carolina – 9/20 @ 7:00pm
Western Kentucky > Nevada – 9/20 @ 7:00pm
Baylor > Arizona State – 9/20 @ 7:30pm
Vanderbilt > Georgia State – 9/20 @ 7:30pm
Virginia > Stanford – 9/20 @ 7:30pm
Texas State > Nicholls State – 9/20 @ 8:00pm
UTEP > Louisiana Monroe – 9/20 @ 9:00pm
UTSA > Colorado State – 9/20 @ 9:30pm
California > San Diego State – 9/20 @ 10:30pm
USC > Michigan State – 9.20 @ 11:00pm
Colorado > Wyoming – 9/20 @ 10:45pm


UPSETS (23 Picks):

Charlotte +2.5 > Rice – 9/18 @ 7:30pm
Rutgers +2.5 > Iowa – 9/19 @ 8:00pm
SMU +7.5 > TCU – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Texas Tech +3.5 > Utah – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Memphis +7.5 > Arkansas – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Maryland +9.5 > Wisconsin – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Miami (OH) +2.5 > UNLV – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Army +1.5 > North Texas – 9/20 @ 12:00pm
Liberty +8.5 > James Madison – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
Eastern Michigan U +2.5 > UL Lafayette – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
UNC +7.5 > UCF – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
Nebraska +1.5 > Michigan – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
Purdue +26.5 > Notre Dame – 9/20 @ 3:30pm
West Virginia +13.5 > Kansas – 9/20 @ 6:00pm
Delaware +5.5 > FIU – 9/20 @ 6:00pm
Duquesne +7.5 > Akron – 9/20 @ 6:00pm
Middle Tennessee State U +2.5 > Mashall – 9/20 @ 7:00pm
Air Force +10.5 > Boise State – 9/20 @ 7:00pm
Washington State +20.5 > Washington – 9/20 @ 7:30pm
Illinois +6.5 > Indiana – 9/20 @ 7:30pm
East Carolina U +5.5 > BYU – 9/20 @ 7:30pm
Southern Miss +3.5 > Louisiana Tech – 9/20 @ 7:30pm
Hawaii +2.5 > Fresno State – 9/21 @ 12:00pm

Purdue over ND is a shocker! Be fun if that hits.

This week I'll run the 23 upsets for $10 and work through parlays soon.
 
Hit last week Same Game Parlay vs USF hope you followed here’s this weeks +400 odds

Beck 2 passing td Beck has done this everytime while he was at UGA and I can’t see any reason why he can’t do it again. I don’t difference makers in the UF secondary.

Malachi Toney 60+ yards. Hit this every game 3/3. He’s beck top 2 target and should see plenty of opportunity.

Mark Fletcher td. Fletcher is the goal line back for us. Caleb banks out Miami is a physical team. Lowest odds leg and for good reason.

Canes Spread. -8.5 this is a huge weekend for the U (recruiting, gameday, state rival, home) Mario will make sure Miami owns the state of Florida.
 
Winners for the week:

Army

Oregon ST
AZ ST
FSU

Ole Miss
USC

Liberty
Wash ST
Marshall

LA Tech
Kansas ST
Tennessee

Arizona
Memphis
Wake Forest

Arkansas
Minnesota
Syracuse

Pitt
Kansas
South Alabama

Ohio
Vanderbilt
CMU

Georgia Southern
Ark ST
Washington

Auburn
Iowa
Northwestern

Boston College
Baylor
West VA

Buffalo
San Diego ST
Navy

Toledo
Miami of Ohio
New Mexico

Tulsa
Hawaii
Kennesaw ST

Rhode Island
VA Tech
Southern Miss

Western Kentucky
Penn ST
Bama
Mizzou

San Jose ST
App ST
South Carolina

Colorado
 
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