8-4

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We would get violated beyond belief. The 2015 team was better than this team.
 
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5-7 implies that we only beat FIU. Out of Louisville, FSU, and Duke, we could easily win 2/3. I think 7-5 is as likely as 6-6. 8-4 and 5-7 are the outliers. Not sure that 5-7 is any more likely than 8-4 though. I would think it's something like this:
7-5 - 35%
6-6 - 35%
8-4 - 15%
5-7 - 15%

this guy Maths!!!
 
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