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Good late line movement, we should feel confident we win today. Nice late bounce back in our favor, ML rose from -242 to close -262:

Here's what I see for the day of the game (there was little movement after this screenshot with the juice and closed UF -7 -108). The moneyline was mostly linear in UF's favor, and the sharp's were right about that. But from an initial line of UF -7.5 and a day-of-the-game line of UF -7.5 that...

May have been -16 elsewhere, but not at Pinnacle. I just tried to keep it consistent using the same source for all lines.

I thought it'd be worthwhile to breakdown our game's spread and read the tea leaves. Is it about gambling? Yes, but it also inherently tells us when we should expect to win or be concerned. I'm not going to focus on totals because the line moves aren't as sharp as moves on sides. Context is...