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  1. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    It's unusual, but not unheard of for players out of eligibility to play summer ball: "After serving as the team’s closer last summer, righthanded pitcher Eamon Horwedel returned this year and is having success as one of the Growlers’ starters. He was named to the Great Lakes All-Star Game and...
  2. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    I imagine Mason Molina is going SEC or UCLA etc. but you have to offer a large percentage of the budget to him.
  3. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    Home park can absolutely impact HR/FB ratio. Generally, it’s a metric that is unstable, really. So Levenson at 25% for instance, could just as easily become 20% the next year etc. The average is sticky at between 10-11%. The most likely reasons for the difference is in launch angle and how...
  4. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    But holy cannoli do we need to find a whole bunch of transfer arms to bring in before school gets started.
  5. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    Forgive me if I'm being dense here, but did Antonio Jimenez decommit? That's your SS if he didn't. Ranked #55 in the entire draft this last year by FanGraphs, didn't get drafted, and is physically ready. Had a 100 mph throw from SS at PG National, switch hitter, good hands on the dirt. Already...
  6. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    Costello had a 109 wRC+, which adjusts for park and competition in the same conference as Levenson. Levenson had a 124 wRC+. Basically what that tells us is that Costello was a 9% better hitter than average and Levenson was 24% better. The way they get there is exactly as you say; Levenson...
  7. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    The Arteaga era is off to a wonderful start. At least we signed a Juco who wasn’t good enough at Kennesaw State.
  8. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    But that’s already baked in. Teams value the players at a number. Players have a number. If they don’t match, they don’t take them. It’s definitely moved to marginal kids going to school, but mainly because they’re out pricing themselves.
  9. Lance Roffers

    2024 Roster Discussion

    If they were drafted in the top-10 rounds, they are absolutely gone. 97% have signed since moving to this format and most of the ones who didn't sign failed to do so because of injury or flagged during physical. If you are a college player drafted after the top-10 rounds it is over 80% and most...
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