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The models have a southerly shift. The red line is the NHC official forecast.

Right now, it looks like Palm Bay between Sebastian and Melbourne.

It looks like its predicted path is shifting north. This is the European model 57 hours from now. And the composite spaghettis showing the NHC predicted path.

Tropicaltidbits.com or hurricanecity.com are usually good sources.

Yup.

It will depend on how fast that high pressure system gets out of the way.

It doesn't look like it's on there. https://data.tallahassee.com/storm/#spaghetti

The NHC model is pretty far south. I'm hopeful it keeps trending north. The majority of models seem to point that way.

Looks like a direct hir later this week.

It shouldn't be, but it's definitely a hurdle to be overcome because natural disasters will always happen.

Everyone knows carbon doesn't count if it's pumped elsewhere. It's science. Kind of like how Germany burning wood pellets by the shipload is green energy because it's considered renewable biomass.

Maybe I'm numb to the whole climate change bit.

Kind of, but I more meant D vs R. Desantis spoke nicely of Biden and Biden spoke nicely of Desantis. That's all I could hope for. You'd have to be an idiot to believe the ridiculousness about climate change and hurricanes in the face of the evidence.

There are some things that should've be politicized and when people try they should be ostracized.

He won't be responding. I clearly said to keep it about the hurricane two pages ago.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/wwii-vet-describes-riding-out-ian-on-sanibel-island-its-unbelievable/1257650

After that hurricane that wiped out Mexico Beach, FL afew years ago, you'd have thought there would be a healthy respect for storm surge.