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  1. DMoney

    What did Willis do wrong

    The sample size was enormous and the gap between one and two was immense. I'd say it is pretty conclusive with respect to Miami. Here is the methodology they used: Methodology We pulled data from Pro-Football-Reference.com on the 3,831 players drafted since 2002 and broke them into eight...
  2. DMoney

    What did Willis do wrong

    There's no bias. Scouts just missed, as the data makes clear. The bigger issue is point two, which is that the school underdeveloped and underperformed. Here is a chart of the Top Overperformers so you can see the gap between #1 and #2...
  3. DMoney

    What did Willis do wrong

    Several people asked whether there is a statistical analysis to show which school’s players overperform their draft slots. ESPN did it already, over fifteen years of data and thousands of picks. And it confirmed exactly what I’ve said: Miami players outperform their spots more than any team in...
  4. DMoney

    What did Willis do wrong

    It has nothing to do with bias. A mistake is a mistake. What would you call the Dolphins picking Phillip Merling over Calais Campbell?
  5. DMoney

    What did Willis do wrong

    Both. One example is Calais Campbell. He would have been a Top 5 pick if Palermo (our DL coach in 2006) never left.
  6. DMoney

    What did Willis do wrong

    Not on UM guys. They usually make a lot more on their second contracts than their firsts.
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