BartTorvik predictions for Miami's next three games

Trinton Breeze
5 min read
We’re more than halfway through the college basketball season and less than 50 days away from March. That means every Miami game is starting to matter more. Losses can push the Hurricanes toward the bubble, while wins can move them up the seed line.

So let’s take a look at where Miami is trending and how national media is viewing the Canes heading into the next three games.

First, a look at where the Canes stand. Right now, Miami is No. 37 in the NET, the NCAA’s ranking system/sorting tool; No. 40 in KenPom; and No. 41 in BartTorvik, another rating system. The Canes are still on the outside of the AP and Coaches Top 25s.

The margin is thin from here on out. A good week can change everything. A bad loss can do the opposite. With conference play heating up, Miami’s next stretch will go a long way in deciding whether the Hurricanes are safely in the field or fighting it out on the bubble come March.
Now, let’s see what BartTorvik is saying about the next three games.

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Stanford​

Wed., Jan. 28, 9:00 p.m. ET, Watsco Center (Coral Gables, FL), ACCN
The Stanford Cardinals are riding a two-game losing skid right now after dropping games to California and then getting blown out by Duke by 30. However, the Cardinal have also picked up wins over a pair of top-25 teams in Louisville and North Carolina, making this a tricky game.

This season has been up and down for the Cardinals. They even dropped a game they were expected to win against Seattle. Offensively, Stanford is averaging 76.0 points per game while giving up 72.5 points per game on the defensive end.

Leading the way for the Cardinals is freshman guard Ebuka Okorie. He’s averaging 21.7 points per game, which ranks 11th nationally, along with 3.5 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. Okorie is shooting 41.9% from the field and 29.4% from three-point range.

Torvik: Miami 79, Stanford 71 (77% chance of winning)

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California​

Sat., Jan. 31, 4 p.m. ET, Watsco Center (Coral Gables, FL), ACCN

California is currently 3–4 in the ACC. The Golden Bears are an overall better squad than Stanford, and the two teams just played with California winning 78–66.

The Bears opened the season 12–1 before falling to Louisville, and things kind of went downhill from there. Still, California has picked up solid wins over North Carolina and UCLA, both top-25 teams. Their nonconference schedule was fairly easy, so they didn’t face much trouble there, with their only loss coming by three points to Kansas State, 99–96.

California is averaging 37.5 rebounds per game. The Hurricanes should have the edge on the glass, as Miami crashes the boards hard and is one of the best rebounding teams in the ACC, averaging 38.7 rebounds per game, similar to what they did against Syracuse.

The Golden Bears are led by 6-foot-2, 190-pound junior Dai Dai Ames, who is averaging 1.1 points per game, 1.9 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game, while shooting 48.6% from the field and 42% from three-point range.

Torvik: Miami 77, California 70 (74% chance of winning)

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Boston College​

Sat., Feb. 7, 2 p.m. ET, Conte Forum (Chestnut Hill, Mass), ACCN

The Boston College Eagles have certainly failed expectations this season. They dropped a bad game earlier in the year to Central Connecticut, and in their most recent outing, they lost to Virginia. Boston College still has two tough games before facing Miami, with matchups against Virginia and Duke. You can likely mark those down as losses, which means the Eagles could come into the Miami game sitting at 9–13 overall and 2–7 in ACC play.

Miami also hasn’t beaten Boston College on the road since 2021, which makes this another tricky spot.

The Eagles are led by Fred Payne, who has been at Boston College for three years and has shown steady growth. Payne is averaging 15.1 points per game, along with 3.0 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game.

Torvik: Miami 71, Boston College 65 (73% chance of winning)
 

Comments (2)

Next 3 games are critical... 2 against middling teams at home, and then 1 vs a bottom feeder on the road. After the terrible loss to FSU, 3 wins would put us back in a very nice spot for the NCAAT. Win 2 of 3 and we are firmly in the bubble, lose 2 or more and we are probably cooked.
 
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