- Joined
- Dec 22, 2011
- Messages
- 42,655
With the Northwestern loss, Miami should go to #9. We would need to pass 5 teams to make the CFP.
If we do NOT play ND or make the ACC-CG, we need to win whatever games remain on the schedule.
If we play ND, we have to win, but it could vault us over UGa and Cincy immediately.
8. UGa plays South Carolina tonight, and won't lose to Vandy next week, who didn't even score this week (thus the female kicker got exactly one play, the second half kickoff). UGa won't make the SEC-CG, thus we have to vault them on the quality of our remaining wins. Plus, it would be a hard thing for the CFP committee to give UGa the edge for the 4th spot when they have 2 losses AND did not play for the conference championship.
7. Cincy has to play a ranked Tulsa (plus a championship game?). It might be hard to vault them if they don't lose again.
6. Gaytors have to play TN and LSU, but the best chance of another loss is to Alabama in the SEC-CG.
5. Texas A&M plays LSU tonight, plus Auburn and Tennessee. We need them to lose at least one of those, as Alabama will be in the SEC-CG for the SEC-West.
4. Ohio State may not play another game, so this will really test the CFP committee as to whether 4 games is enough to make the playoffs.
3. Clemson has to play VaTech, but is also likely to play ND in the ACC-CG (unless we manage to be a spoiler).
2. Notre Dame - unlikely to lose another game before the ACC-CG, unless they play Miami.
1. Alabama - unlikely to lose even the SEC-CG
Cincy, Gaytors, and Texas A&M have the best shot of losing another regular season game. ND-Clemson and Alabama-Gaytors in championship games will lock up 2 losses. So we need 3 other teams to lose or for the CFP folks to push us ahead of teams like UGa and Cincy.
If we do NOT play ND or make the ACC-CG, we need to win whatever games remain on the schedule.
If we play ND, we have to win, but it could vault us over UGa and Cincy immediately.
8. UGa plays South Carolina tonight, and won't lose to Vandy next week, who didn't even score this week (thus the female kicker got exactly one play, the second half kickoff). UGa won't make the SEC-CG, thus we have to vault them on the quality of our remaining wins. Plus, it would be a hard thing for the CFP committee to give UGa the edge for the 4th spot when they have 2 losses AND did not play for the conference championship.
7. Cincy has to play a ranked Tulsa (plus a championship game?). It might be hard to vault them if they don't lose again.
6. Gaytors have to play TN and LSU, but the best chance of another loss is to Alabama in the SEC-CG.
5. Texas A&M plays LSU tonight, plus Auburn and Tennessee. We need them to lose at least one of those, as Alabama will be in the SEC-CG for the SEC-West.
4. Ohio State may not play another game, so this will really test the CFP committee as to whether 4 games is enough to make the playoffs.
3. Clemson has to play VaTech, but is also likely to play ND in the ACC-CG (unless we manage to be a spoiler).
2. Notre Dame - unlikely to lose another game before the ACC-CG, unless they play Miami.
1. Alabama - unlikely to lose even the SEC-CG
Cincy, Gaytors, and Texas A&M have the best shot of losing another regular season game. ND-Clemson and Alabama-Gaytors in championship games will lock up 2 losses. So we need 3 other teams to lose or for the CFP folks to push us ahead of teams like UGa and Cincy.
