Awsi Dooger
Junior
- Joined
- Jan 20, 2012
- Messages
- 2,662
The Washington Post is a phenomenal paper and vital national asset. So naturally it inspires fear among SAMs, who live in denial and fear. Make the truth go away.
But the sports department has not been comparatively prioritized, and allowed to decline somewhat. For decades they had a fantastic crew of columnists who had dual specialities, like football and horse racing. But the paper lost interest in horse racing years ago so some of those guys left, or simply got old. Previously you could always guarantee at least one excellent column per day, kind of like the Herald when Edwin Pope was at his peak. But nowadays unless John Feinstein contributes something the writing and scope can be disappointing.
Regarding our chances, they theoretically weakened slightly today because the Clemson favoritism has been pushed upward to a consensus -10, both in Las Vegas and offshore. Kind of weird that it's basically 10 everywhere. Normally you see some variance at certain spots.
Money line has been adjusted upward to match. That's the automatic offshoot. As soon as a betting line is bet one way or another, the sportsbook manager will amend the money line to fall in line with the new pointspread. He doesn't wait for a wager on the money line. He moves it accordingly. They have charts to rely on. It's yet another laughable rejection of the conventional wisdom that a pointspread is not a prediction of the outcome. Then when why are the straight up odds adjusted to conform to the money line? The spread absolutely is a prediction. Oddsmakers will concede as much all the time in private. I got the chief Las Vegas oddsmaker to concede it on the Stardust Line radio program decades ago. But for public consumption they have to pretend everything is mysterious, that they have the secret formula. And it works, because the public is so gullible. SAMs are double gullible, in politics and sports.
Miami is now available straight up as high as +330 money line. But that still doesn't hold value compared to +10 points. You would need +400 to slightly exceed the value of +10 points.
But the sports department has not been comparatively prioritized, and allowed to decline somewhat. For decades they had a fantastic crew of columnists who had dual specialities, like football and horse racing. But the paper lost interest in horse racing years ago so some of those guys left, or simply got old. Previously you could always guarantee at least one excellent column per day, kind of like the Herald when Edwin Pope was at his peak. But nowadays unless John Feinstein contributes something the writing and scope can be disappointing.
Regarding our chances, they theoretically weakened slightly today because the Clemson favoritism has been pushed upward to a consensus -10, both in Las Vegas and offshore. Kind of weird that it's basically 10 everywhere. Normally you see some variance at certain spots.
Money line has been adjusted upward to match. That's the automatic offshoot. As soon as a betting line is bet one way or another, the sportsbook manager will amend the money line to fall in line with the new pointspread. He doesn't wait for a wager on the money line. He moves it accordingly. They have charts to rely on. It's yet another laughable rejection of the conventional wisdom that a pointspread is not a prediction of the outcome. Then when why are the straight up odds adjusted to conform to the money line? The spread absolutely is a prediction. Oddsmakers will concede as much all the time in private. I got the chief Las Vegas oddsmaker to concede it on the Stardust Line radio program decades ago. But for public consumption they have to pretend everything is mysterious, that they have the secret formula. And it works, because the public is so gullible. SAMs are double gullible, in politics and sports.
Miami is now available straight up as high as +330 money line. But that still doesn't hold value compared to +10 points. You would need +400 to slightly exceed the value of +10 points.
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