Reyrey
Senior
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- Jan 12, 2020
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Here’s a look at some numbers of Miami Vs BC. The right column “Vs BC” is them on the other side of the ball. So points per game. Miami scores 29.2 ranking 44th and BC gives up 28.2 ranking 78th.
Must Win? Yea, sort of. I’ll be blunt and quick with this. Less of a breakdown of BC and more just how we match up. In short, We should win. This is a game “Mario Ball” should be able to dominate. But, what team shows up in Cheatnut Hill the day after Thanksgiving. Track record over the years tends to say not the good one. But, I have been pleasantly surprised with the team we have seen this year in terms of effort and showing up. I don’t see that changing. But, will this be the team that capitalizes on an opportunity to close out the season strong? Similar to the team that capitalized on historicaly tough match ups against Clemson and Texas A&M. Or the team that squanders an inferior opponent and game they should win like GT and NC State. Well, the numbers say we should.
It’s an interesting matchup in terms of things each team does well and their opposition. The strength of BC offense is their run game. Well, that’s Miamis defensive strength. Throug the air, BC struggles and that is not necessarily a “strength” of Miamis. Conversely, BC struggles at the LOS and with stopping the run on defense or getting in the backfield. Miamis strength. So, on paper, Miami should be able to run well and have plenty of time to throw. On defense, BC will look took run the ball, especially with the QB. That leads to the key of the game.
TOP and the ground game. BC is in the top 20 in the nation for TOP and rush offense. They want to have the ball and sustain long drives. If Miami can flip the script and do that, it will be very tough for BC to operate their offense.
They other key is Miami through the air and in the red zone. BC is dead last in sacks and TFL in the country. Can TVD play how he did last week and capitalize through the air. He will have the time. With their run defense issues, we should be able stay ahead of the chains and be able to take shots. As well, our red zone offense has not beeen great. This is a great opportunity to cash in , literally, against a team that’s in the bottom 10 nationally stopping teams in the red zone.
Lastly, it goes without saying. But, Final game of the year, let’s finish strong. Looking at our team statistically, theirs plenty of areas we ranking strongly in. Also some not so much. I’m a numbers guy, but I think it’s a strong selling point moving forward for the program to be able to say these things:
- 30 PPG and Top 30 by yardage on offense
- Top 10 in rush defense
- Top 10 in TFL and Top 20 in Sacks
There’s more areas that can finish strong too despite tough games this year. All in all, it’s a great opportunity. Hopefully the team capitalizes. But like every game this year, let’s see which Canes we get on Friday.
Miami 30 - BC 23
| Category | Miami | Vs BC | BC Category | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 29.2 (44th) | 28.2 (78th) | Opp Points Per Game | |
| Opp. Points per Game | 23.8 (46th) | 24.9 (72nd) | Points Per Game | |
| Total Offense YPG | 417.3 (38th) | 376.6 (58th) | Defense YPG | |
| Offense Yards Per Play | 6.1 (31st) | 6.3 (122nd) | Defense YPP | |
| Pass Rating | 136.8 (58th) | 143.2 (97th) | Def Pass Rating | |
| Pass O | 253.4 (47th) | 194.9 (26th) | Def Pas O | |
| Yards Per Att | 7.6 (52nd) | 8.3 (117th) | Def Yards Per Att | |
| Rush O | 163.9 (53rd) | 181.7 (112th) | Def Rush O | |
| Yards per Cary | 4.9 (23rd) | 5.1 (121st) | Def Yards Per Cary | |
| Red Zone O | 83.33% (67th) | 93.33 (125th) | Def Ref Zone | |
| Sacks Allowed | 1.3 (21st) | .9 (133rd-Last) | Def Sacks | |
| TFL Allowed | 5.0 (40th) | 3.1 (130-Last) | Def TFL | |
| Completion % | 63.28 (38th) | 57.87 (27th) | Def Comp % | |
| 3rd Down O % | 38.46 (66th) | 38.15 (59th) | Def 3rd down | |
| Total Defense YPG | 343.0 (37th) | 388.9 (58th) | Offense YPG | |
| Defensive YPP | 5.1 (33rd) | 5.2 (81st) | Off YPP | |
| Passer Rating | 125.8 (36th) | 115.8 (108th) | Off Passer Rtg | |
| TFL | 7.3 (13th) | 4.73 (29th) | Off TFL Allowed | |
| Sacks | 2.8 (22nd) | 1.5 (32nd) | Off Sacks Allowed | |
| Rush D | 98.9 (12th) | 194.9 (17th) | Rush O | |
| Yards per Cary | 3.2 (12th) | 4.5 (46th) | Off ypc | |
| Red Zone D % | 85.37 (81st) | 83.87% (64th) | Red Zone O | |
| Pass D | 244.1 (95th) | 194 (95th) | Pass O | |
| Yards Per Attempt | 7.2 (61st) | 6.7 (92nd) | Off ypa | |
| Completion % | 55.64 (20th) | 54.58 (115th) | Off Completion% | |
| 3rd Down D % | 34.29 (30th) | 40.65 (47th) | Off 3rd Down | |
| Penalty Yards Per Game | 64.4 (120th) | 53.8 (80th) | Penalty Yards perfect game | |
| Avg TOP | 31:36 (27th) | 32:07 (14th) | Avg TOP | |
| Turnover Margin | -.4 (98th) | -.2 (85th) | Turnover Margin | |
| FG% | 86.96 (17th) | 81.82 (34th) | FG % | |
| Avg Scoring Margin | +5.4 (42nd) | -3.2 (78th) | Avg Sc |
Must Win? Yea, sort of. I’ll be blunt and quick with this. Less of a breakdown of BC and more just how we match up. In short, We should win. This is a game “Mario Ball” should be able to dominate. But, what team shows up in Cheatnut Hill the day after Thanksgiving. Track record over the years tends to say not the good one. But, I have been pleasantly surprised with the team we have seen this year in terms of effort and showing up. I don’t see that changing. But, will this be the team that capitalizes on an opportunity to close out the season strong? Similar to the team that capitalized on historicaly tough match ups against Clemson and Texas A&M. Or the team that squanders an inferior opponent and game they should win like GT and NC State. Well, the numbers say we should.
It’s an interesting matchup in terms of things each team does well and their opposition. The strength of BC offense is their run game. Well, that’s Miamis defensive strength. Throug the air, BC struggles and that is not necessarily a “strength” of Miamis. Conversely, BC struggles at the LOS and with stopping the run on defense or getting in the backfield. Miamis strength. So, on paper, Miami should be able to run well and have plenty of time to throw. On defense, BC will look took run the ball, especially with the QB. That leads to the key of the game.
TOP and the ground game. BC is in the top 20 in the nation for TOP and rush offense. They want to have the ball and sustain long drives. If Miami can flip the script and do that, it will be very tough for BC to operate their offense.
They other key is Miami through the air and in the red zone. BC is dead last in sacks and TFL in the country. Can TVD play how he did last week and capitalize through the air. He will have the time. With their run defense issues, we should be able stay ahead of the chains and be able to take shots. As well, our red zone offense has not beeen great. This is a great opportunity to cash in , literally, against a team that’s in the bottom 10 nationally stopping teams in the red zone.
Lastly, it goes without saying. But, Final game of the year, let’s finish strong. Looking at our team statistically, theirs plenty of areas we ranking strongly in. Also some not so much. I’m a numbers guy, but I think it’s a strong selling point moving forward for the program to be able to say these things:
- 30 PPG and Top 30 by yardage on offense
- Top 10 in rush defense
- Top 10 in TFL and Top 20 in Sacks
There’s more areas that can finish strong too despite tough games this year. All in all, it’s a great opportunity. Hopefully the team capitalizes. But like every game this year, let’s see which Canes we get on Friday.
Miami 30 - BC 23
