Top 25 Rooting Guide for the Miami Hurricanes – Week 12
Introduction
This list serves as a guideline for Miami Hurricanes fans for week 12 of the college football season. I have broken down each game for all top 25 programs and highlighted who Miami fans should want to win the game and why. For teams ranked ahead of Miami I have also stated my opinion on if this week’s outcome would vault the hurricanes ahead of the losing team in the CFP Rankings. This prediction goes away after the top 14 as I do not foresee any team ranked below the hurricanes jumping them from a win this week.
1 Ohio State vs UCLA
Rooting For: Ohio State
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
2 Indiana vs Wisconsin
Rooting For: Indiana
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
3 Texas A&M vs South Carolina
Rooting For: Texas A&M
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
4 Alabama vs 11 Oklahoma
Rooting For: Alabama
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
5 Georgia vs 10 Texas
Rooting For: Georgia
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
6 Texas Tech vs UCF
Rooting For: Texas Tech
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
7 Ole Miss vs Florida
Rooting For: Florida
Reasoning: This is my sneaky game of the week for Miami. With no wins over the top tier SEC teams (assuming an Oklahoma loss this weekend), a 2 loss Ole Miss with a loss to a Florida Gator team that Miami handled convincingly should be ranked lower than the Canes.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
8 Oregon vs Minnesota
Rooting For: Minnesota
Reasoning: While a loss here would likely keep Oregon ahead of Miami in the rankings it provides the potential for a third loss for an Oregon team that has 2 tough tests against USC and Washington to round out the season.
Would Miami Jump: No
9 Notre Dame vs 22 Pittsburgh
Rooting For: Pitt
Reasoning: With all eyes on Notre Dame as the darling of the committee a third loss would be devastating to their playoff chances but a blessing for Miami and College Football. This loss would drop Notre Dame below Miami and take the relief of the "Why even schedule tough games?" argument off the committee’s backs. The elevated ranking of Pitt would also bolster Miami's resume if they can pull off a win vs the Panthers in the season finale.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
10 Texas vs 5 Georgia
Rooting For: Georgia
Reasoning: See above
Would Miami Jump: Yes
11 Oklahoma vs 4 Alabama
Rooting For: Alabama
Reasoning: See above
Would Miami Jump: Yes
12 BYU vs TCU
Rooting For: TCU
Reasoning: BYU could very well be eliminated from the Playoff race with another throttling in a presumed Big 12 title game against Texas Tech but a loss here against TCU takes it out of the committee’s hands and firmly places Miami over the Cougars.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
13 Utah vs Baylor
Rooting For: Baylor
Reasoning: Plain and Simple, this is Utah's only remaining chance to drop a game before the final rankings and most likely (more on this later) Miami's only chance in jumping the Utes.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
14 Vanderbilt - Bye
Rooting For: N/A
Reasoning: You're safe for this week Vandy but Tennessee is coming.
Would Miami Jump: No
15 Miami vs NC State
Rooting For: Miami
Reasoning: The U. Nuff said.
16 Georgia Tech vs Boston College
Rooting For: Boston College
Reasoning: This is a toss-up for me pending a deep dive into the ACCCG Tie Breaker Rules, but I’m assuming a Boston College win would be beneficial for the Canes.
17 USC vs 21 Iowa
Rooting For: Iowa
Reasoning: Another toss-up. I would want both teams to drop another game to make Miami feel comfortable ahead of these teams, but an Iowa win gives USC the go ahead to upset Oregon and still be ranked behind the Canes. It’s unlikely Iowa would jump Miami with a win here and the ease of their remaining schedule.
18 Michigan vs Northwestern
Rooting For: Northwestern
Reasoning: Michigan is scary. With a matchup against Ohio State and potential for a Big Ten Championship birth. This is the best chance for a 2-loss team to jump Miami in the rankings. I would love to see that possibility snuffed out by Northwestern this weekend.
19 Virginia vs Duke
Rooting For: Duke
Reasoning: Duke, Duke, and more Duke. Virginia holds the tie breaker of record vs common opponents against the Hurricanes so Miami would need Virginia to lose both remaining games, starting with the Blue Devils in order to keep any hope of the ACCCG alive. If Manny Diaz can find any remaining love in his heart for Miami, he will get this one done.
20 Louisville vs Clemson
Rooting For: Clemson
Reasoning: Ahh my alma mater. Just when it feels like Clemson has given up for the season Dabo rallies the boys for an inspired win over Florida State. Need my old school to bring the same energy into Louisville and knock the Cardinals out of ACCCG contention. I will also be watching with all of my college buddies so for their sake and for the sake of my Friday night I hope Dabo can pull out a win.
21 Iowa vs 17 USC
Rooting For: Iowa
Reasoning: See above
22 Pittsburgh vs 9 Notre Dame
Rooting For: Pitt
Reasoning: See above
23 Tennessee vs New Mexico State
Rooting For: New Mexico State
Reasoning: I don’t think Tennessee has any chance to jump Miami at 3 losses, but a shocking upset loss here would definitely make sure of that. Wouldn’t be mad with a win here though. Whatever gets them most fired up for Vandy is good for Miami.
24 South Florida vs Navy
Rooting For: USF
Reasoning: South Florida winning out to be the unanimous G5 bid to the playoffs would be a great look for the Hurricanes who absolutely dismantled the Bulls. It’s hard to argue with the Hurricanes case as a 2-loss team that convincingly beat 2 other playoff teams if the Bulls and Notre Dame were both able to make the Playoffs.
25 Cincinnati vs Arizona
Rooting For: Arizona
Reasoning: Doesn’t affect much. The only hope here is that an Arizona win spoils the look of Utah's best win over Cincy. Zero quality wins could be a slight factor if Miami were to dominate the remainder of the schedule. It is unlikely that the Canes will jump Utah because of this game though.
Summary
If my math is correct and everything goes perfect for the Canes this weekend, there is potential to gain 6 spots in the rankings from #15 to #9. Barring a highly unlikely route to the ACCCG, a ranking of #10 or higher would be necessary for the Hurricanes to make the playoffs and avoid being booted out in favor of the 3rd and 4th highest ranked conference champions. At number #9 I would feel very confident in the Hurricanes controlling their own destiny once more as the only two teams I could see jumping Miami at that point would be a 2 loss Michigan if they can run the table or a 3 loss Texas team that finishes the year with a win over Texas A&M. Of course, all of these results are out of Miami’s hands. Handle business against NC State and let the chips fall how they may. Go Canes!
Introduction
This list serves as a guideline for Miami Hurricanes fans for week 12 of the college football season. I have broken down each game for all top 25 programs and highlighted who Miami fans should want to win the game and why. For teams ranked ahead of Miami I have also stated my opinion on if this week’s outcome would vault the hurricanes ahead of the losing team in the CFP Rankings. This prediction goes away after the top 14 as I do not foresee any team ranked below the hurricanes jumping them from a win this week.
1 Ohio State vs UCLA
Rooting For: Ohio State
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
2 Indiana vs Wisconsin
Rooting For: Indiana
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
3 Texas A&M vs South Carolina
Rooting For: Texas A&M
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
4 Alabama vs 11 Oklahoma
Rooting For: Alabama
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
5 Georgia vs 10 Texas
Rooting For: Georgia
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
6 Texas Tech vs UCF
Rooting For: Texas Tech
Reasoning: Just want the top teams to keep winning to avoid muddying the waters in the conversation of 2 loss teams.
Would Miami Jump: No
7 Ole Miss vs Florida
Rooting For: Florida
Reasoning: This is my sneaky game of the week for Miami. With no wins over the top tier SEC teams (assuming an Oklahoma loss this weekend), a 2 loss Ole Miss with a loss to a Florida Gator team that Miami handled convincingly should be ranked lower than the Canes.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
8 Oregon vs Minnesota
Rooting For: Minnesota
Reasoning: While a loss here would likely keep Oregon ahead of Miami in the rankings it provides the potential for a third loss for an Oregon team that has 2 tough tests against USC and Washington to round out the season.
Would Miami Jump: No
9 Notre Dame vs 22 Pittsburgh
Rooting For: Pitt
Reasoning: With all eyes on Notre Dame as the darling of the committee a third loss would be devastating to their playoff chances but a blessing for Miami and College Football. This loss would drop Notre Dame below Miami and take the relief of the "Why even schedule tough games?" argument off the committee’s backs. The elevated ranking of Pitt would also bolster Miami's resume if they can pull off a win vs the Panthers in the season finale.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
10 Texas vs 5 Georgia
Rooting For: Georgia
Reasoning: See above
Would Miami Jump: Yes
11 Oklahoma vs 4 Alabama
Rooting For: Alabama
Reasoning: See above
Would Miami Jump: Yes
12 BYU vs TCU
Rooting For: TCU
Reasoning: BYU could very well be eliminated from the Playoff race with another throttling in a presumed Big 12 title game against Texas Tech but a loss here against TCU takes it out of the committee’s hands and firmly places Miami over the Cougars.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
13 Utah vs Baylor
Rooting For: Baylor
Reasoning: Plain and Simple, this is Utah's only remaining chance to drop a game before the final rankings and most likely (more on this later) Miami's only chance in jumping the Utes.
Would Miami Jump: Yes
14 Vanderbilt - Bye
Rooting For: N/A
Reasoning: You're safe for this week Vandy but Tennessee is coming.
Would Miami Jump: No
15 Miami vs NC State
Rooting For: Miami
Reasoning: The U. Nuff said.
16 Georgia Tech vs Boston College
Rooting For: Boston College
Reasoning: This is a toss-up for me pending a deep dive into the ACCCG Tie Breaker Rules, but I’m assuming a Boston College win would be beneficial for the Canes.
17 USC vs 21 Iowa
Rooting For: Iowa
Reasoning: Another toss-up. I would want both teams to drop another game to make Miami feel comfortable ahead of these teams, but an Iowa win gives USC the go ahead to upset Oregon and still be ranked behind the Canes. It’s unlikely Iowa would jump Miami with a win here and the ease of their remaining schedule.
18 Michigan vs Northwestern
Rooting For: Northwestern
Reasoning: Michigan is scary. With a matchup against Ohio State and potential for a Big Ten Championship birth. This is the best chance for a 2-loss team to jump Miami in the rankings. I would love to see that possibility snuffed out by Northwestern this weekend.
19 Virginia vs Duke
Rooting For: Duke
Reasoning: Duke, Duke, and more Duke. Virginia holds the tie breaker of record vs common opponents against the Hurricanes so Miami would need Virginia to lose both remaining games, starting with the Blue Devils in order to keep any hope of the ACCCG alive. If Manny Diaz can find any remaining love in his heart for Miami, he will get this one done.
20 Louisville vs Clemson
Rooting For: Clemson
Reasoning: Ahh my alma mater. Just when it feels like Clemson has given up for the season Dabo rallies the boys for an inspired win over Florida State. Need my old school to bring the same energy into Louisville and knock the Cardinals out of ACCCG contention. I will also be watching with all of my college buddies so for their sake and for the sake of my Friday night I hope Dabo can pull out a win.
21 Iowa vs 17 USC
Rooting For: Iowa
Reasoning: See above
22 Pittsburgh vs 9 Notre Dame
Rooting For: Pitt
Reasoning: See above
23 Tennessee vs New Mexico State
Rooting For: New Mexico State
Reasoning: I don’t think Tennessee has any chance to jump Miami at 3 losses, but a shocking upset loss here would definitely make sure of that. Wouldn’t be mad with a win here though. Whatever gets them most fired up for Vandy is good for Miami.
24 South Florida vs Navy
Rooting For: USF
Reasoning: South Florida winning out to be the unanimous G5 bid to the playoffs would be a great look for the Hurricanes who absolutely dismantled the Bulls. It’s hard to argue with the Hurricanes case as a 2-loss team that convincingly beat 2 other playoff teams if the Bulls and Notre Dame were both able to make the Playoffs.
25 Cincinnati vs Arizona
Rooting For: Arizona
Reasoning: Doesn’t affect much. The only hope here is that an Arizona win spoils the look of Utah's best win over Cincy. Zero quality wins could be a slight factor if Miami were to dominate the remainder of the schedule. It is unlikely that the Canes will jump Utah because of this game though.
Summary
If my math is correct and everything goes perfect for the Canes this weekend, there is potential to gain 6 spots in the rankings from #15 to #9. Barring a highly unlikely route to the ACCCG, a ranking of #10 or higher would be necessary for the Hurricanes to make the playoffs and avoid being booted out in favor of the 3rd and 4th highest ranked conference champions. At number #9 I would feel very confident in the Hurricanes controlling their own destiny once more as the only two teams I could see jumping Miami at that point would be a 2 loss Michigan if they can run the table or a 3 loss Texas team that finishes the year with a win over Texas A&M. Of course, all of these results are out of Miami’s hands. Handle business against NC State and let the chips fall how they may. Go Canes!