Last time UM had a legit shot at making a run was???

[2FNFST4U]

Honestly if we had beaten FSU 2 years ago when Duke broke his leg the season ended on that play

 

[Hurricane23]

2009 was a really good team.

So was 2007 and 2006. IMO.

2007 had a decent defense but the offense was horrible due to injuries and lack of talent. KW was hurt the majority of the year. Freeman couldn't throw. That was the beginning of an injury riddled career for JJ.

At the beginning of the year that 2007 team had all the checkmarks.

Oklahoma beat us 52-13 that year

 

[Hurricane23]

The Last time Miami had a Legit shot at winning the national Championship was 2005

 

[Gatorhater]

Whenever the last of Butch's recruits left.

 

[caneaddict]

yep 2009 til we kicked a line drive to CJ Spiller

 

[Awsi Dooger]

The Last time Miami had a Legit shot at winning the national Championship was 2005

Exactly. Anyone who suggests a season beyond 2005 might as well be wearing a clown hat. It was difficult not to laugh while reading some of those posts. Delusional and beyond.

Believe it or not there is a mathematical element to this. You can't just pick a roster than fancied you and attach absurd faith that defies any sense of probability. Our power rating has been mediocre to awful since 2006. In 2005, in contrast, we were a 3 point favorite at Florida State, 7 point favorite at Clemson, and 7 point favorite at a neutral site against LSU in the bowl game. Imagine any of those numbers today. It is a jolt toward how far we have fallen. Instead of -7 at Clemson now they are -7.5 at our joint. Granted, the 2005 LSU line was ridiculous overreaction to their altered quarterback situation.

A team with that type of 2005 power rating has an opportunity, if everything falls into place. It means the other games are massive favoritism -- like -21 hosting North Carolina -- and supposed to be formalities. That's why I always focus on the necessity of a high preseason rating. That type of thing naturally falls in line with power rating and therefore margin for error.

Now fast forward to 2006. Suddenly we are 4 point underdog at Louisville early in the season, after being 9 point favorite over Louisville two seasons earlier. We are a 4.5 point underdog at Georgia Tech, after being a 17.5 point favorite over Georgia Tech a season earlier in the big upset defeat.

I was no longer kidding myself into false hopes as early as 2006 because I have a grasp of the big picture math. Apparently some Canes fans were comically delusional into 2007, when we were 11 point underdog at Oklahoma, or even into 2013, when we were a 21 point underdog at Florida State. I could provide many more examples.

There's always some message board goof who desperately finds some team that won a string of games as underdog and either won the national title or came very close. They think they have diffused the argument. I've seen that sad type here. Loud and wrong. As always, exceptions mean nothing. If you spotlight exceptions it screams that you have no idea what you are doing. The idea is to forge a program strong enough to take advantage of normalcy, not rely on a 1 in 8 shot one week followed by 1 in 4, and 1 in 3, etc.

 

[Cane1996]

2003 Canes with 2004 Brock Berlin = National Champs. Easy.

 

[cowboycane]

2005. Number 3, beat the brakes off of VT (Top 5 at the time) and all we needed was to win out and we would get a chance to avenge our only loss of the season against FSU. Of course we lost to Calvin Johnson and the rest is history. But that is the last time we were legit.

 

[Hurricane23]

The Last time Miami had a Legit shot at winning the national Championship was 2005

Exactly. Anyone who suggests a season beyond 2005 might as well be wearing a clown hat. It was difficult not to laugh while reading some of those posts. Delusional and beyond.

Believe it or not there is a mathematical element to this. You can't just pick a roster than fancied you and attach absurd faith that defies any sense of probability. Our power rating has been mediocre to awful since 2006. In 2005, in contrast, we were a 3 point favorite at Florida State, 7 point favorite at Clemson, and 7 point favorite at a neutral site against LSU in the bowl game. Imagine any of those numbers today. It is a jolt toward how far we have fallen. Instead of -7 at Clemson now they are -7.5 at our joint. Granted, the 2005 LSU line was ridiculous overreaction to their altered quarterback situation.

A team with that type of 2005 power rating has an opportunity, if everything falls into place. It means the other games are massive favoritism -- like -21 hosting North Carolina -- and supposed to be formalities. That's why I always focus on the necessity of a high preseason rating. That type of thing naturally falls in line with power rating and therefore margin for error.

Now fast forward to 2006. Suddenly we are 4 point underdog at Louisville early in the season, after being 9 point favorite over Louisville two seasons earlier. We are a 4.5 point underdog at Georgia Tech, after being a 17.5 point favorite over Georgia Tech a season earlier in the big upset defeat.

I was no longer kidding myself into false hopes as early as 2006 because I have a grasp of the big picture math. Apparently some Canes fans were comically delusional into 2007, when we were 11 point underdog at Oklahoma, or even into 2013, when we were a 21 point underdog at Florida State. I could provide many more examples.

There's always some message board goof who desperately finds some team that won a string of games as underdog and either won the national title or came very close. They think they have diffused the argument. I've seen that sad type here. Loud and wrong. As always, exceptions mean nothing. If you spotlight exceptions it screams that you have no idea what you are doing. The idea is to forge a program strong enough to take advantage of normalcy, not rely on a 1 in 8 shot one week followed by 1 in 4, and 1 in 3, etc.

This guy is smart

 

[UMAlum21]

2010 should have been a very good team. Lot of talent and we imploded.

Those are 2 good NFL WR, a very good NFL back, a solid #2 , 2 NFL OL and another 2 solid college guys who made a roster for a lil bit in Washington and Gunn. Not to mention a talented D. Jacory imploded under poor coaching but you give that team to Gary Patterson and they are playing in a BCS game no question.

Miller
Benjamin
Hankerson
Mike James
Henderson
Washington
Franklin

Spence
McCarthy
Vernon
Bailey
Harris
Van Dyke

 

[Category81]

As stated above 2004 Brock on 2003 team wins the title with that defense..travesty we lost to Tennessee that year

 

[Southbeach44]

The Last time Miami had a Legit shot at winning the national Championship was 2005

This is the only answer.

 

[deleted4697]

As stated above 2004 Brock on 2003 team wins the title with that defense..travesty we lost to Tennessee that year

I think it was a 4th down 3 yard reverse play that beat us that day too

 

[umhurricane2511]

The only honest answer is 2005

 

[Biscuits]

A run at what? The ACC? Look no further than last year - roster with 30-40 future pros and a pretty good trajectory leading up to the second half of the FSU game.

Yah, what's the ******* premise here?

How about 2013? 7-0 and ranked in the top ten.

 

[canesfanmpls]

is it 2009 season.. that roster had some depth

2009 was our best squad in a decade. With a QB who wasn't a turnover machine we coulda won 11 games easily.

And Jacory was good, he just forced the ball way too much and allowed teams to get in his head! Once he threw a pick he started pressing and that's when things unraveled. I wonder if Randy would still be here if Jacory stopped throwing picks...

Jacory was a turnover machine. I wouldn't say he was good. He couldn't even "manage a game". Probably a nice guy - but starting D1 QB - he was not good. He was a huge reason (along with coaching) we lost with all that talent.