If we win out

Advertisement
giphy.gif
 
This team failed miserably...Beck is a statue in the pocket....his inability to improvise doesn't match the offensive scheme...struggles to recognize (audible) mismatches at the LOS to create explosive plays...I think Miami will definitely lose against Pitt and another sorry Bowl....
 
10-2 record. How can our chance to make the CFP only be 9% if the committee will be tripping over themselves to let in a 10-2 ND team that we beat? Do head to head records matter? Are they going to discount that it was the first game of the season? Why wouldn't they discount the entire ND schedule?

ND Schedule:
beat 2-7 Arkansas
beat 5-4 NC State
beat 2-7 Purdue
beat G5 Boise State
beat 6-2 USC
beat 1-8 Boston College
lost to Texas A&M
lost to Miami

Remaining:
Navy (7-1)
Pitt (7-2)
Syracuse (3-6)
Stanford (3-6)

I say all this to say that we will probably lose to Pitts on the last game of the season to make it as gut wrenching and heartbreaking as possible
So you're saying there's a chance....
 
We won’t make it… committee will find away to drag in a 3 loss SEC team over us.

Or even a similar record ND team who we have a head to head win against
 
Advertisement
As I Miami fan, we don’t deserve the playoffs if there is not a dramatic change in the last 4 games. We failed miserably against two mediocre at best teams. I threw the Kool-Aid out. We are not back and we are not a playoff team based on what we all witnessed since the 4th qtr in the FSU game to now.
 

Bracket


Based on our weekly projection, the seeding would be:

First-round byes

No. 1 Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
No. 2 Indiana
No. 3 Alabama (SEC champ)
No. 4 Texas A&M

First-round games

On campus, Dec. 19 and 20

No. 12 Memphis (American champ) at No. 5 Georgia
No. 11 Virginia (ACC champ) at No. 6 Ole Miss
No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 BYU (Big 12 champ)
No. 9 Texas Tech at No. 8 Oregon

Quarterfinal games

At the Goodyear Cotton Bowl, Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential and Allstate Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1.

No. 12 Memphis/No. 5 Georgia winner vs. No. 4 Texas A&M
No. 11 Virginia/No. 6 Ole Miss winner vs. No. 3 Alabama
No. 10 Notre Dame/No. 7 BYU winner vs. No. 2 Indiana
No. 9 Texas Tech/No. 8 Oregon winner vs. No. 1 Ohio State
This is how ridiculous of a spot Mario has put us in.

So root for the following this weekend:

- BYU win vs Texas Tech
- Oregon loss vs @Iowa
- Indiana loss
- Georgia loss
- SMU upset loss (only if hoping for ACC chance). SMU win helps our at large bid.

- Georgia loss vs Miss. State
- Wake win vs UVA (only if hoping for ACC Chance

- Cal upset win vs Louisville (only if hoping for ACC Chance). Louisville win helps our at large bid.

- Root for an LSU upset vs Bama
- Root for a Navy upset of ND

Crazy amount of mental gymnastics there. I hate this ******* coach and team.
 
The ESPN model says there's a 27% of making the playoff if we go 10-2. Our major problems, in order:

1) Actually winning games
2) Actually winning games
3) We need around 7 specific teams to lose games over the next 4 weeks. Texas A&M losing to Texas is bad. Alabama losing to Oklahoma is bad. Any of those things happen and it becomes very tough.

This weekend:
BYU needs to beat Texas Tech
Iowa somehow beating Oregon would help
Auburn beating Vanderbilt
Wake beating UVA
It seems like every year enough of these things DO in fact happen, but then Miami loses to Georgia Tech or Pitt.
 
I looked at this last night. Obviously we have to win out. But basically.. all we'd have to do is move up a spot or two as teams ahead of us lose, and we'd get in.

I know it won't play out this way, but using the ESPN's matchup predictor:

11 Texas is projected to lose to UGA next week. They also play A&M in their finale.
12 Oklahoma is projected to lose to Alabama next week
14 UVA is projected to lose to Duke next week
16 Vandy is projected to lose to @ Tenn in their finale
17 GT is projected to lose to UGA in their finale. They also play Pitt in 2 weeks.
18 Miami is expected to win out.
19 USC is projected to lose @ Oregon in two weeks. They also play #20 Iowa next week
20 Iowa is projected to lose to #8 Oregon today and @ USC next week

IF we win out, #13 Utah wouldn't have our resume.

#15 Louisville is projected to win out. But they still play Cal, Clemson, @ SMU and Kentucky. We'd jump them with a single loss.

Other teams:

If we win out it's because we're "headed in the right direction", which makes it hard to justify keeping #10 ND ahead of us.

#9 Oregon's schedule is BAAAAD. Their best win is against 3-5 Penn State. They still play @ #20 Iowa, 6-3 Minnesota, #19 USC and @ #23 Washington. It's hard to say where they'd end up if they lose a game.

If #8 BYU loses to TTU today, a second loss @ 7-2 Cincinatti or at home against 6-3 TCU would end their season.

If #7 TTU loses to BYU today, it would come down to their resume vs ours. Would our win over ND be more valuable than their win over Utah?
 
Advertisement
Back
Top