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I know it's ESPN, but....

Totally meaningless statistics.

But for those that understand statistics, if you were to take those individual ESPN probabilities as gospel, which they are not, and use a formula that takes into account the probabilities of the independent events (games) to determine the total win probability, it would result in multiple losses being the most likely outcome. I haven’t calculated it, but with those ESPN numbers, it should be somewhere in the neighborhood of +/- 2-3 losses.

But it’s pretty much a meaningless exercise, because the initial ESPN probabilities, in my opinion, are totally meaningless - garbage in garbage out.
 
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OriginalCanesCanesCanes said:
Totally meaningless statistics.

But for those that understand statistics, if you were to take those individual ESPN probabilities as gospel, which they are not, and use a formula that takes into account the probabilities of the independent events (games) to determine the total win probability, it would result in multiple losses being the most likely outcome. I haven’t calculated it, but with those ESPN numbers, it should be somewhere in the neighborhood of +/- 2-3 losses.

But it’s pretty much a meaningless exercise, because the initial ESPN probabilities, in my opinion, are totally meaningless - garbage in garbage out.
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Statistically speaking no matter how good a college team is, there is a greater chance of multiple losses than 1 or 0. We could just leave it at that. Forest Gump level statistics for the majority of us lol 😂
 
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FSU is very beatable if the opposing team can be strong on the d-line and if the dbs can stay at home and expect passes all the way.
 
WndyCityCane said:
UNC has destroyed us lately. My goodness that’s the game we gotta have.
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outside of beating FSU (seeing us beat them down is a given) the 2 we really need to beat this year are UNC and Clemson...those some monkeys we need off our back. If we win all other games and only lose to FSU we will see them again in Charlotte
 
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Clemson, UNC FSU will all be tough games. NC ST the week before FSU sets up for a potential trap game
 
Too much can happen and we need to stay healthy/get back the injured guys before the meat of the schedule starts for those numbers to hold weight. If Kam, Mesidor, Deen are not back close to full go or we add to that list with the wrong guys, things can get dicey.
 
Midlo Cane Fan said:
Their analytics have us losing only 1 game the rest of the year. (And I am cautiously optimistic about that 1)

BC-C - 99.0% WIN
TEM - 95.8
GT - 89.6
UNC - 59.7
CLEM - 61.8
UVA - 95.9
NCS - 72.9
FSU - 27.1
LOU - 73.5
BC - 92.5
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Nope. That’s not how that works.
 
Midlo Cane Fan said:
Their analytics have us losing only 1 game the rest of the year. (And I am cautiously optimistic about that 1)

BC-C - 99.0% WIN
TEM - 95.8
GT - 89.6
UNC - 59.7
CLEM - 61.8
UVA - 95.9
NCS - 72.9
FSU - 27.1
LOU - 73.5
BC - 92.5
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Don't take the poison!
 
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