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Fornelli's mortal lock of the week.

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mackjones

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Who he? One of CBS national college football pundit. That's who!

Lock of the Week
Miami (-4) at North Carolina: This is an overreaction if I've ever seen one. Last we saw Miami was two weeks ago when it was allowing 10 sacks against Florida. North Carolina beat South Carolina last week, but I don't think anybody who watched that game would claim the Tar Heels played particularly well. Now the Tar Heels will be going against a Miami team coming off a bye, as well as a team that's looking to show that it's better than it seemed against Florida. Make no mistake about it: North Carolina is not Florida. It does not have the same defensive front that the Gators have, and will not be able to cause as much chaos in Miami's backfield as Florida did. Miami, on the other hand, has the talent and scheme to make life miserable for the UNC offense. This number is too small; the Canes will win this by a touchdown at least. Miami 27, North Carolina 14
 
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hmmm, I've been picking us and we lose so I am picking North Carolina...there, now I cursed them with the kiss of death. Never fails!
 
  • Hurricanes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in September.
  • Tar Heels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Tar Heels are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
 
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UNC's offensive possessions the last 10 quarters vs our defense:

Missed FG
Punt
Downs
Punt
Punt
Punt
Downs
FG
Downs
FG
Punt
Punt
Punt
INT
Punt
TD
Fumble
TD
INT
INT
Punt
FG
Fumble returned for TD
TD
INT returned for TD
Punt
INT
Fumble
Punt
Missed FG
INT returned for TD
Downs
Fumble


Thats 13 TOs by INT, fumble or downs vs 3 TDs and 3 FGs

Our defense has scored as many touchdowns in the last 2 1/2 games as their offense.

This four point spread is easy money.

We roll.
 
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