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He has our offense rated 15th, and our defense 11th

Behind a paywall, so I am not going to link it, but Miami comes in at number 8. Our rating is 21.8. Bama comes in at #1, with a rating of 31.7. Thus, according to S&P, we should be a 10 point dog on a neutral field. (Subtract the higher rating from the lower and you get the predicted spread...