I know Rogers shtick is that he hates everyone, but D1 absolutely has their favorites. Louisville, UNC, and FSU are the big ones in the ACC. They tend to overrank them early, jump them up the rankings faster, and hang onto them longer.
If I were breaking the ACC into tiers
Top 8 Lock
Wake Forest
Host Candidates
Duke
Virginia
Miami
BC
Likely In
Clemson (great RPI, slightly over .500)
Bubble
Notre Dame
UNC
Virginia Tech (Problematic RPI and need work on ACC record)
Need a lot of work
Louisville
NC State
Likely Out
Pitt...
D1 has us as the 15th overall seed paired with Wake in their midseason projections. They have Tennessee, Arizona State, and FGCU (perfect scouting opportunity) coming to Coral Gables.
https://d1baseball.com/top-stories/2023-midseason-field-of-64-projections/
Our actual RPI was 17 at the end of the Wake series and is now 14th. The RPI+ takes in other factors (conference standings, etc) meant to mimic the behavior of the past committees. That was at 12th when we were 17th in the traditional RPI, but they only update it a couple times a week. Could be...
Started the week 12th in College Baseball Nation’s committee trained RPI+. The FIU win bumped our actual RPI up to 14th.
https://www.collegebaseball.info/rpiplus
First big upset of conference play: BC swept a doubleheader from the Hokies today to take the series 2-1. Duke/Wake and UVA/UNC split doubleheaders with Wake and UVA taking their respective series.