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On second look they must have more or less thrown out the RPI. Can’t do much projection for hosts with the selection a couple weeks away, and they have Louisville at 12 with an RPI of 43 and Nebraska at 16 with and RPI of 50. Hard to make an argument for any geographic benefit of picking Lincoln...

They must be expecting us to more or less collapse down the stretch with the GT and Louisville series

No, they don’t oder teams beyond the top 16. After that they fill by geography and send the leftovers (us in this case) to wherever they have holes.