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Ha! In my righteous indignation I forgot the link. Football Power Index - Wikipedia

LOL, so beating Savannah St. doesn't improve our odds? Not even a little? That actually makes a lot of sense.

Below is a link to the wiki article on FPI which gives a basic explanation of what it takes into account. Things like the amount of days off a team has and game location play a part, so maybe they (and other factors) play a part in the conclusions. I don't think anyone is going to share the...

Fck. I think he made it clear this was about probability. An 80% win chance doesn't mean we'll win just that we should win 8/10...maybe today is a bad day. When you look at the smallish chance that we'll lose each game taken together, it actually becomes likely that we'll lose at some point...