Every elite coach has proven they belong by year 2 by winning their division.
Saban
Dabo
Smart
Urban
Carroll
Lincoln Riley
Mario (at Oregon. Year 4 at FIU)
Generally year 2 is the year a coach's abilities shine and you know if you have a winner or not.
He has to win the coastal next year or he's not the right guy..with the transfer portal it's even easier to make changes than it used to be.