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That post actually makes me change my mind lol. I agree with you now, not worth the risk IMO. I'd take a guaranteed 17 mill versus a chance to make an additional 15 with the risk of losing 10+ every time.

There's two types of first round money. I can have a well done round steak or a medium-rare Mignon. Either way I have steak for dinner, but one is obviously better. He comes back and stays healthy, he gets the Mignon as opposed to the hockey puck.