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OK, so our next 4 games: @ NC State - they are 2-3 in conference. Lost to 3-3 ACC GaTech at home (early season) and on the road to 2-3 ACC Clemson (who we beat) and 3-2 ACC VaTech recently. Not the same as losing to undefeated ACC Duke (twice) and 1-loss ACC Louisville. We will need better...

Okayyyy... So they beat MSU in Hawaii, and then promptly lost to Dayton (by 27) and BYU (by 13) in Hawaii. For common opponents, we both beat Coppin State and our next 2 games are against Clemson (VaTech won) and Duke (VaTech lost). Again, VaTech is a team that we could/should sweep, though I...

I'm not "taking 2 wins for granted". I am pointing out a very possible pathway to 10 wins. Obviously, not every game that I laid out will come out as planned. You can offset an unfortunate loss against a lesser Pitt team with a surprising win over a UVa or a UNC. F$U is good, but we manage...

OK, so let's review. Miami could get to 10-10 in the ACC by: Home wins vs. Pitt, Florida State OR NC State (we play F$U in CG for the first game, so we may surprise them, we play NCS in the second game, so we may fight hard to avoid the seaon sweep), VaTech, Boston College, Wake, Syracuse Home...

How so? Essentially, we beat every team that is below us (based on pre-season predictions, since we don't have a big statistical sample on the current results yet), and we get a home win vs. F$U and NC State. I gave us zero wins against Duke, UNC, Louisville, UVa, and Notre Dame, and one loss...

I agree, we should look to 18-12 (10-10 ACC) as our reasonable expectation that would allow us to make the Tournament. I'd love to see us win more, and if we dip below, we are pretty much out of the NCAA consideration. 10 ACC wins - Clemson, 1 vs. F$U, 2 vs. Pitt, 1 vs. NC State, 2 vs. Va...