I don't disagree. I only dispute the point where an analytics result sways one's decision to make a change. There are obvious numbers then there are negligible ones.
I am not disputing analytics is not helpful.
Well if you can actually demonstrate that in practice rather than theory I would give you a 2% chance of convincing me. I suspect you are now highly motivated to try.
If I'm a GM approving contracts in the millions you will not be on contract long with 2% improvements in anything if you are not producing in general. But that's just me I guess.
Yes... but I was replying specifically to the example provided of winning and losing. Improving your chances of winning by 2% seems pretty negligible to me.
if analytics gives you only a 2% chance of winning than without, I would guess analytics isn't the main issue and you would be better spending your resources elsewhere like improving recruiting, coaching and player development..