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  1. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    Sharps now 3-0 betting Miami this year.
  2. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    Yes, it's locked in at the time you make it.
  3. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    And just like that, we're favored by 12. Great sign and we're now close enough to the game that while some sharps have bet both sides of this game, the overwhelming amount is on Miami. We opened -9.5 and now it's -12.
  4. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    Not so much the public as sharps laying mid-five figures.
  5. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    Buckle up, there is some significant line movement towards F$U. Line has dropped from -11.5 to -10.5 at Pinnacle and with the vig now -111 it's more likely to move to -10 than back to -11. Moneyline dropped from -409 to now -371. Still lots of time before kickoff to possibly reverse.
  6. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    He means when you see the line move the other way. Usually lines don’t move linearly like it did for our game against Louisville. Usually it zigzags a bit for a variety of reasons. It may move due to injuries; that’s just an adjustment. I care about line moves based on money and “respect...
  7. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    I wish you were right but I’d be shocked if it climbs to 13.5 or 14. The vig on +11.5 is already starting to climb a bit, it’s now +11.5 -112 whereas it was +11.5 -106.
  8. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    It’s the direction of the spread I’m mainly interested in. I’d feel more comfortable if we opened -6.5 and closed -8.5 than if we opened -11 and closed -9. And prior years’ games played by different players and coaches won’t impact the game, either.
  9. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    Very tough to say this early but we’ve seen it cross two key numbers, 10 and 11, so I’d say it either closes back at 11 or it could climb to the next key number, 13. We aren’t winning by exactly 12.
  10. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    Spread is now -11.5 as of this morning.
  11. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    The line is now -11.
  12. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    It’s now up to -10.5. And before anyone says our games are always close, F$U is coming off a bye, F$U may be without their coach, etc, that is already factored into the line or it it won’t be. Our history against them really doesn’t matter in this game.
  13. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    Yes, I forgot that game. Goes to show the pointspread tends not to matter when these two teams play. We were trailing throughout and won by a point.
  14. Poptimus

    Miami -9.5 vs. F$U

    The opening line is -10 at some outs. I cannot recall the last time we were favored by this much against F$U.
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