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We've let this go on more than long enough. At this point the thread has devolved into personal shots and nobody is convincing anyone else their view points. If somebody wants to PM me on 4/2/2022 (after the close of the signing period) to revisit where the 2022 class landed I'll be happy to do...

Fair enough. And I sincerely appreciate your acknowledgment that in a theoretical class size of up to 16 HS recruits, the chances of our 2022 class staying in the top 12 are significant enough to preclude you from accepting the wager. It seems like you are saying you don't expect a class...

I'd be willing to do the bet at 16. Anything more and the risk of a push is just too likely, per reports on the expected size of the our HS class. Does 16 work for you?

Here's my proposed bet, which is a modification of the above so you are obviously under no obligation to accept if you find the terms unfavorable or otherwise unreasonable: If UM recruits at least 15 HS/JUCO signees* in the 2022 class and ends up in the top 12** on the 247 composite by average...